Rangers vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 5

Both the New York Rangers and Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off a defeat, heading into their meeting at Madison Square Garden on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET. Rangers (-135) versus Maple Leafs (+114) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

New York lost 5-4 in overtime at home in its last game on March 2 against the Columbus Blue Jackets. Gabriel Perreault's three points (two goals and one assist) led the Rangers.

Toronto lost on the road 4-3 to the New Jersey Devils on March 4 in its last game, falling 2-0 in a shootout. Matthew Knies (one goal) and Simon Benoit (one assist) were among the nine Maple Leafs skaters who recorded one point each in that matchup.

Here is our pick for who will secure the win in Thursday's matchup.

Rangers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the New York Rangers and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Maple Leafs 4 - Rangers 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.93 goals)
  

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Rangers vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Snag a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Rangers-Maple Leafs game.

• Favorite: Rangers (-135)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (+114)

Rangers Betting Insights

• The Rangers have been victorious in 11 of their 23 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (47.8%).
• When it has played with moneyline odds of -135 or shorter, New York is 8-8 (winning 50.0% of the time).
• The Rangers have a 57.4% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this matchup.
• New York and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 22 of 60 games this season.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs have won 11, or 37.9%, of the 29 games they have played while the underdog this season.
• Toronto has gone 7-13, a 35.0% win rate, when it's been set as an underdog of +114 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Sportsbooks have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Maple Leafs have a 46.7% chance to win.
• Toronto has played 35 games this season that finished with over 6.5 goals.

Rangers Key Stats

• New York ranks 28th in the NHL with 157 goals scored (2.6 per game).
• The Rangers have given up 190 total goals (3.2 per game), ranking 19th in league action in goals against.
• It has the league's 29th-ranked goal differential at -33.
• The 33 power-play goals the Rangers have scored this season rank 20th in the NHL (on 147 power-play chances).
• New York's 22.45% power-play conversion rate ranks 12th in the league.
• The four shorthanded goals the Rangers have scored this season rank 18th among NHL squads.
• New York kills 79.21% of opponent power plays, the 16th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• New York wins the second-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 54.9%.
• The Rangers connect on 10.3% of their shots (25th in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto's 197 goals on the season (3.2 per game) rank 15th in the league.
• The Maple Leafs' total of 212 goals given up (3.4 per game) is 30th in the NHL.
• it has the 22nd-ranked goal differential in the league at -15.
• The Maple Leafs have 29 power-play goals (on 146 chances), 25th in the NHL.
• Toronto's power-play percentage (19.86) ranks the team 17th in the league.
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Maple Leafs have three.
• The 83.44% penalty-kill percentage of Toronto is fourth in the league.
• Toronto wins 55.9% of faceoffs, No. 1 in the NHL.
• The 11.6% shooting percentage of the Maple Leafs is eighth in the league.