Purdue vs. Michigan State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 26

The No. 8 Purdue Boilermakers (22-5, 12-4 Big Ten) play the No. 13 Michigan State Spartans (22-5, 12-4 Big Ten) as 7.5-point favorites on Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET on Peacock. The matchup has an over/under set at 142.5 points.

Purdue came out on top in its most recent game 93-64 against Indiana on Friday. In the win, Trey Kaufman-Renn paced Purdue with 20 points. Michigan State took care of business in its most recent game 66-60 against Ohio State on Sunday. Carson Cooper put up 20 points, 11 rebounds and three assists for Michigan State.

Purdue vs. Michigan State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Indiana
• Spread favorite: Purdue -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Purdue -351
• Moneyline underdog: Michigan State +270
• Over/Under: 142.5 points

How to watch Purdue vs. Michigan State

• TV Channel: Peacock
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Purdue vs. Michigan State

• Purdue and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (142.5 points) 17 times this season.
• There have been 13 Michigan State games that finished with a combined score over 142.5 points this season.
• The over/under for the matchup of 142.5 is 18.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Boilermakers (82.9) and Spartans (78.4).
• The 135.4 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 7.1 less than the 142.5-point over/under in this contest.
• On average, Purdue has seen a 152.2-point over/under in its games this season, 9.7 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this game is 2.1 points lower than the average over/under in Michigan State's games this season of 144.6.

Betting the Spread: Purdue vs. Michigan State

• In Purdue's 27 games this season, it has 13 wins against the spread.
• The Boilermakers have an ATS record of 8-9 in their 17 games as a favorite of 7.5 points or more so far this season.
• Michigan State has 14 wins against the spread in 27 games this season.
• Purdue is 5-10 against the spread, and 12-3 overall, at home.
• As a 7.5-point favorite or greater at home, Purdue is 5-7 ATS.
• In away games, Michigan State is 3-4 against the spread, and 4-3 overall.
• Michigan State has one win ATS (1-3) away from home as 7.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Purdue vs. Michigan State

• Purdue has entered the game as moneyline favorites 23 times this season and won 19, or 82.6%, of those games.
• The Boilermakers have entered 15 games this season favored by -351 or more, and won each of those games.
• Purdue has a 77.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Michigan State has come away with one win in the four contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Spartans have yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +270.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Michigan State has a 27% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.