Providence vs. Xavier Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 24

The Providence Friars (12-15, 5-11 Big East) host the Xavier Musketeers (13-14, 5-11 Big East) at Amica Mutual Pavilion, beginning at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 24, 2026. The Musketeers are 5.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 170.5 points.

Providence enters this game following a 71-68 victory against DePaul on Saturday. Jaylin Sellers' team-leading 21 points led Providence in the win. Xavier's last outing on Saturday ended in an 80-75 loss to Butler. Tre Carroll scored a team-best 24 points for Xavier in the loss.

Providence vs. Xavier Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, February 24, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Amica Mutual Pavilion in Providence, Rhode Island
• Spread favorite: Providence -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: Providence -287
• Moneyline underdog: Xavier +225
• Over/Under: 170.5 points

How to watch Providence vs. Xavier

• TV Channel: TNT
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Providence vs. Xavier

• This season, Providence's games have seen a combined score higher than this matchup's 170.5-point over/under 10 times.
• There have been five Xavier games that ended with a combined score higher than 170.5 points this season.
• The Friars average 86.8 points per game against the Musketeers' 78.1, totaling 5.6 points under the matchup's total of 170.5.
• These two teams surrender a combined 163.8 points per game, 6.7 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Providence's games is 171.6 points, 1.1 more than the total of 170.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 13.4 points separates this matchup's over/under (170.5 points) and the average over/under in Xavier's games (157.1) this season.

Betting the Spread: Providence vs. Xavier

• Providence has played 27 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Friars have been installed as favorites by a 5.5-point margin or more seven times and are 4-3 ATS in those contests.
• Against the spread, Xavier is 15-12-0 this season.
• The Musketeers have an ATS record of 5-4 in their nine games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more this season.
• Providence is 8-6 against the spread, and 9-5 overall, at home this season.
• At home, as a 5.5-point favorite or more, Providence is 4-3 ATS.
• Xavier is 1-8 overall, and 4-5 against the spread, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Providence vs. Xavier

• This season, Providence has been moneyline favorites 13 times and won nine, or 69.2%, of those games.
• The Friars have entered six games this season favored by -287 or more, and won each of those games.
• Providence has a 74.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Xavier has come away with four wins in the 16 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Musketeers have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +225 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Xavier has a 30.8% chance of walking away with the win.