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Phillies vs. Astros Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 10

10 September 2026 By Data Skrive

Kyle Schwarber and Yordan Alvarez face off in a battle between top-10 power hitters when the Philadelphia Phillies and Houston Astros meet on Thursday at 1:05 p.m. ET. Schwarber has 44 homers (first in league) for the Phillies, while Alvarez is fourth with 38 home runs for the Astros. Zack Wheeler (12-5, 3.23 ERA) will start for the Phillies, who are 82-64 this season and second in the NL East. Cristian Javier (2-5, 5.98 ERA) is starting for the Astros, who are 74-72 and first in the AL West.

The Phillies (-193) are moneyline favorites at home over the Astros (+156). The game's total is set at 8.5.

Phillies vs. Astros Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Thursday, September 10, 2026
  • Game time: 1:05 p.m. ET
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park
  • Favorite: Phillies (-193)
  • Underdog: Astros (+156)
  • Over/under: 8.5

How to Watch Phillies vs. Astros

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Phillies vs. Astros: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Phillies are 72-41 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 63.7% of those games).
  • Houston has come away with 42 wins in the 81 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 19-5, a 79.2% win rate, when favored by -193 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • This season, the Astros have come away with a win one times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +156 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Phillies have an implied win probability of 65.9%.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 39.1% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies vs. Astros: Betting the Spread & Total

  • In the 146 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Phillies, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 66 times (66-72-8).
  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 73 of its 146 games with a total this season.
  • The Phillies have a 62-84-0 record against the spread this season (covering 42.5% of the time).
  • The Astros are 76-70-0 against the spread in their 146 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

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