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Stars vs. Islanders NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 25

25 October 2026 By Data Skrive

The Dallas Stars and New York Islanders -- the former coming off a win, the latter a loss -- will face each other on Sunday at 6 p.m. ET, at American Airlines Center in Dallas. The bookmakers have made the Stars solid favorites at -198 on the moneyline, and the Islanders are at +164.

Dallas grabbed a 3-2 victory at home its last time out on Oct. 22 against the Winnipeg Jets. Jake Oettinger saved 17 Jets shots while allowing two goals.

New York played at home its last time out on Oct. 22, and fell 3-2 in overtime against the Los Angeles Kings. Six Islanders players recorded one point each in that outing, including Victor Eklund (one goal) and Emil Heineman (one assist).

Prepare for this showdown with a look at who we project to come out on top in Sunday's game.

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Stars vs. Islanders Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Dallas Stars and New York Islanders, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Stars 3 - Islanders 1
  • Pick OU: Under 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 4 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Stars vs. Islanders Moneylines

Grab a look below at the latest moneylines for the Stars-Islanders game.

  • Favorite: Stars (-198)
  • Underdog: Islanders (+164)

Stars Betting Insights

  • The Stars have been victorious in five of their nine games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (55.6%).
  • Dallas has had three games with moneyline odds of -198 or shorter, and claimed a victory each time.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Stars have an implied probability of 66.4% to win.
  • Dallas' 10 games this season have all finished under this contest's total of 5.5 goals.

Islanders Betting Insights

  • This season the Islanders have been an underdog seven times, and won two of those games.
  • New York has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +164 moneyline for this game.
  • Bookmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Islanders have a 37.9% chance to win.
  • New York has played three games this season with more than 5.5 goals.

Stars Key Stats

  • Dallas' 25 total goals (2.5 per game) rank 26th in the league.
  • Defensively, the Stars have been the stingiest squad in league play, allowing 16 total goals (just 1.6 per game).
  • It has the league's fifth-best goal differential at +9.
  • The four power-play goals the Stars have scored this season (to rank 27th in the NHL) have come on 25 power-play chances.
  • Dallas ranks 25th in the league with a 16.00% power-play conversion rate.
  • The Stars have recorded one shorthanded goal this season (11th among NHL teams).
  • Dallas kills 91.67% of opponent power plays, the third-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Dallas has the best faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 57.1%.
  • The Stars connect on 9.4% of their shots (27th in the league).

Islanders Key Stats

  • New York has 29 goals this season (2.9 per game), 23rd in the NHL.
  • The Islanders concede only 2.2 goals per game (22 in total), the second-fewest in the NHL.
  • It has the ninth-best goal differential in the league at +7.
  • The Islanders have six power-play goals (22nd in NHL) on 30 chances.
  • New York's power-play percentage (20.00) puts the team 19th in the league.
  • The Islanders have two shorthanded goals (fourth in NHL).
  • The 88.24% penalty-kill percentage of New York is fourth in the league.
  • New York wins 54.5% of faceoffs, third-best in the NHL.
  • The 10.9% shooting percentage of the Islanders is 17th in the league.

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