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Panthers vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Feb. 26

26 February 2026 By Data Skrive

The Florida Panthers (29-25-3) host the Toronto Maple Leafs (27-22-9) on Thursday, Feb. 26, with both coming off a defeat. The Maple Leafs are underdogs away from home, at +130, and the Panthers are -155.

Florida lost 6-1 on the road in its last game on Feb. 5 against the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Panthers got one point apiece out of three players, including Matthew Samoskevich (one goal) and Anton Lundell (one assist).

Toronto played on the road in its last game on Feb. 25, and lost 4-2 against the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Maple Leafs were led in that outing by Matthew Knies (one goal and one assist) and William Nylander (two assists).

Here is our pick for who will claim the win in Thursday's game.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Florida Panthers and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Maple Leafs 4 - Panthers 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.94 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Panthers-Maple Leafs matchup.

  • Favorite: Panthers (-155)
  • Underdog: Maple Leafs (+130)

Panthers Betting Insights

  • The Panthers have won 41.0% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (16-23).
  • When playing with moneyline odds of -155 or shorter, Florida has compiled an 8-12 record (winning 40.0% of its games).
  • The Panthers have a 60.8% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this contest.
  • Florida's 57 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals 30 times.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

  • The Maple Leafs have won 11, or 42.3%, of the 26 games they have played while the underdog this season.
  • Toronto has entered 10 games this season as the underdog by +130 or more and is 4-6 in those contests.
  • The moneyline set in this matchup implies a 43.5% chance of victory for the Maple Leafs.
  • Toronto has played 33 games this season that finished with more than 6.5 goals.

Panthers Key Stats

  • Florida's 170 total goals (3.0 per game) rank 19th in the NHL.
  • The Panthers have given up 190 total goals (3.3 per game), ranking 25th in league play in goals against.
  • Its goal differential (-20) ranks 24th in the league.
  • The 40 power-play goals the Panthers have scored this season (eighth-most in the NHL) have come on 210 power-play chances.
  • Florida ranks 21st in the league with a 19.05% power-play conversion rate.
  • The six shorthanded goals the Panthers have scored this season rank seventh among NHL squads.
  • Florida kills 82.59% of opponent power plays, the seventh-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Florida has the 25th-ranked faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 47.5%.
  • The Panthers shoot 10.3% as a team (25th in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

  • With 189 goals (3.3 per game), Toronto has the NHL's 13th-ranked offense.
  • The Maple Leafs have conceded 197 total goals this season (3.4 per game), 27th in the NHL.
  • Its -8 goal differential ranks 19th in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have 26 power-play goals (on 135 chances), 30th in the NHL.
  • Toronto's power-play percentage (19.26) ranks the team 19th in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have three shorthanded goals (20th in league).
  • The 84.14% penalty-kill percentage of Toronto is third in the league.
  • Toronto wins 56.2% of faceoffs, tops in the NHL.
  • The 11.9% shooting percentage of the Maple Leafs is seventh in the league.

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