Thunder vs. Mavericks Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 1

The Dallas Mavericks (21-38) aim to halt a seven-game home losing skid when hosting the Oklahoma City Thunder (46-15) on March 1, 2026.

Sunday's matchup between the Thunder and the Mavericks features the Thunder as massive 15.5-point favorites. The over/under is 233.5 points for the game.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Sunday, March 1, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• Location: Dallas, Texas
• Arena: American Airlines Center
• Total: 233.5 points
• Spread: Thunder -15.5
• Moneyline: Thunder (-1205), Mavericks (+750)

How to watch Thunder vs. Mavericks

• TV Channel: KFAA, FDSOK

Betting the Over/Under: Thunder vs. Mavericks

• In 22 of 61 games this season, the Thunder and their opponents have combined to total more than 233.5 points.
• The Mavericks have played 21 games this season that have gone over 233.5 combined points scored.
• These two teams rack up a combined 233.9 points per game, 0.4 more points than this matchup's total.
• Opponents of these two teams combine to average 226.2 points per game, 7.3 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Thunder vs. Mavericks

• Oklahoma City has won 31 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing 30 times.
• The Thunder have been favored by 15.5 points or more 17 times this season, and covered the spread in 10 of those matchups.
• The Mavericks have won 25 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover or pushing 34 times.
• Dallas has not covered the spread when an underdog by 15.5 points or more this year (in one opportunity).
• The Mavericks are 14-18 overall, and 15-16-1 against the spread, at home.
• In away games, the Thunder are 16-12-1 against the spread, and 21-8 overall.
• Away from home, Oklahoma City has one win ATS (1-2) as 15.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Thunder vs. Mavericks

• The Thunder have been favored on the moneyline 57 total times this season. They've finished 44-13 in those games.
• This season, the Mavericks have won 12 out of the 39 games, or 30.8%, in which they've been the underdog.
• Oklahoma City has won all 12 games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -1205 or shorter.
• Dallas has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +750.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Thunder a 92.3% chance to win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Thunder vs. Mavericks

• Pick ATS: Thunder (- 15.5)
• Pick OU: Over (233.5)
  
• Prediction: Thunder 129 - Mavericks 110
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!