New Mexico State vs. UTEP Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 21

The New Mexico State Aggies (12-13, 5-10 CUSA) host the UTEP Miners (10-16, 6-9 CUSA) at Pan American Center, beginning at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 21, 2026. The Aggies are 6.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 140.5 points.

Their last time out, New Mexico State won on Saturday 79-70 against Jacksonville State. In the win, Jayland Randall paced New Mexico State with 20 points. UTEP's last outing was a 73-64 loss to Liberty on Saturday. Elijah Jones scored a team-high 15 points for UTEP in the loss.

New Mexico State vs. UTEP Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Pan American Center in Las Cruces, New Mexico
• Spread favorite: New Mexico State -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: New Mexico State -328
• Moneyline underdog: UTEP +256
• Over/Under: 140.5 points

How to watch New Mexico State vs. UTEP

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: New Mexico State vs. UTEP

• A total of 16 of New Mexico State's games this season have gone over Saturday's over/under of 140.5 points.
• There have been eight UTEP games that ended with a combined score higher than 140.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 145.6 points per game, 5.1 points more than the total of 140.5 for this matchup.
• This matchup's total is 2.4 less than the 142.9 points these two teams combine to allow per game.
• This season, the average over/under for New Mexico State's games is 147 points, 6.5 more than the total of 140.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 1.2 points lower than the average over/under in UTEP's games this season (141.7 points).

Betting the Spread: New Mexico State vs. UTEP

• New Mexico State is 11-11-0 against the spread this year.
• The Aggies have been favored by 6.5 points or more five times this season and have covered the spread in two of them.
• UTEP is 12-12-0 against the spread this year.
• So far this year, the Miners have been installed as underdogs by a 6.5-point margin or more nine times and are 5-4 ATS in those games.
• New Mexico State is 4-5 overall, and 5-4 against the spread, at home.
• New Mexico State has one win ATS (1-3) as a 6.5-point favorite or more at home.
• UTEP is 6-4 against the spread, and 2-8 overall, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: New Mexico State vs. UTEP

• New Mexico State has been the moneyline favorite in 12 games this season and won five (41.7%) of those contests.
• This season, the Aggies have won two of their four games when favored by at least -328 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 76.6% chance of a victory for New Mexico State.
• UTEP has come away with six wins in the 19 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Miners have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +256 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• UTEP has an implied victory probability of 28.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for New Mexico State vs. UTEP

• Pick ATS: New Mexico State (- 6.5)
• Pick OU: Over (140.5)
  
• Prediction: New Mexico State 80 - UTEP 70