New Mexico vs. San Diego State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 28

The New Mexico Lobos (21-7, 12-5 MWC) host the San Diego State Aztecs (19-8, 13-4 MWC) at The Pit, beginning at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The Lobos are 2.5-point favorites in the game. The over/under in the matchup is 148.5.

New Mexico is coming off of a 67-60 loss to Nevada in its most recent outing on Tuesday. Jake Hall scored a team-leading 17 points for New Mexico in the loss. San Diego State won its last outing 89-72 against Utah State on Wednesday. Reese Dixon-Waters scored 20 points in San Diego State's victory, leading the team.

New Mexico vs. San Diego State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET
• Where: The Pit in Albuquerque, New Mexico
• Spread favorite: New Mexico -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: New Mexico -151
• Moneyline underdog: San Diego State +125
• Over/Under: 148.5 points

How to watch New Mexico vs. San Diego State

• TV Channel: CBS
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: New Mexico vs. San Diego State

• New Mexico and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's over/under (148.5 points) 18 times this season.
• This season, 10 games San Diego State has played finished with a combined score over 148.5 points.
• The Lobos average 80.6 points per game against the Aztecs' 79.3, totaling 11.4 points over the game's total of 148.5.
• These two teams surrender a combined 139.5 points per game, 9.0 less than this contest's over/under.
• New Mexico has seen a 150.1 average over/under in its games this season, 1.6 points more than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 0.9 points lower than the average over/under in San Diego State's games this season (149.4 points).

Betting the Spread: New Mexico vs. San Diego State

• New Mexico has 14 wins against the spread in 27 games this year.
• So far this season, the Lobos have been installed as favorites by a 2.5-point margin or more 17 times and are 8-9 ATS in those matchups.
• In San Diego State's 26 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• This year, the Aztecs have two against the spread wins in four games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
• New Mexico is 7-7 against the spread, and 12-2 overall, at home.
• At home, New Mexico is 6-6 ATS as a 2.5-point favorite or more.
• On the road, San Diego State is 5-3 overall and 6-2 against the spread.
• As 2.5-point underdogs or more on the road, San Diego State is 3-0 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: New Mexico vs. San Diego State

• New Mexico has won 16, or 84.2%, of the 19 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Lobos have entered 17 games this season favored by -151 or more and are 15-2 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that New Mexico has a 60.2% chance to win.
• San Diego State has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in six games this year and has walked away with the win two times (33.3%) in those games.
• The Aztecs have won all of their three games in which they were named as at least a +125 moneyline underdog.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies San Diego State has a 44.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.