Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 28

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (14-14, 8-9 CUSA) play the New Mexico State Aggies (13-14, 6-11 CUSA) as 5-point favorites on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 146.5 points.

Last time out, Middle Tennessee won on Thursday 77-67 against UTEP. In Middle Tennessee's win, Kamari Lands led the way with a team-high 22 points (adding zero rebounds and one assist). New Mexico State dropped its last game 93-70 against Western Kentucky on Thursday. Julius Mims scored a team-high 13 points for New Mexico State in the loss.

Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET
• Where: Murphy Center in Murfreesboro, Tennessee
• Spread favorite: Middle Tennessee -5
• Moneyline favorite: Middle Tennessee -230
• Moneyline underdog: New Mexico State +185
• Over/Under: 146.5 points

How to watch Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State

• Middle Tennessee and its opponents have combined to exceed Saturday's total of 146.5 points 11 times this season.
• This season, 13 games New Mexico State has played finished with a combined score over 146.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 150.7 points per game, 4.2 points more than the total of 146.5 for this game.
• The 144.2 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 2.3 fewer than the 146.5 total in this contest.
• On average, Middle Tennessee has seen a 148.0-point over/under in its games this season, 1.5 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• New Mexico State's games have an average over/under of 146.9 points this season, 0.4 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State

• Against the spread, Middle Tennessee is 11-14-0 this season.
• The Blue Raiders have been favored by 5 points or more seven times this season and are 3-4 ATS in those matchups.
• New Mexico State has played 24 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Aggies won ATS in their only game as an underdog of 5 points or more.
• At home this year, Middle Tennessee is 4-7 against the spread and 7-4 overall.
• Middle Tennessee is 3-4 ATS as a 5-point favorite or greater at home.
• New Mexico State is 4-6 against the spread, and 3-7 overall, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State

• Middle Tennessee has won six, or 50%, of the 12 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Blue Raiders have a record of 5-2 when favored by -230 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Middle Tennessee has a 69.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• New Mexico State has won in four, or 36.4%, of the 11 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Aggies have been listed as an underdog of +185 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies New Mexico State has a 35.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.