Heat vs. Nets Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 5

The Brooklyn Nets (15-46) aim to break a seven-game road losing streak at the Miami Heat (33-29) on March 5, 2026.

Thursday's matchup between the Heat and the Nets features the Heat as sizable 12.5-point favorites. A 225.5-point total has been set for the matchup.

Heat vs. Nets Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, March 5, 2026
• Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Arena: Kaseya Center
• Total: 225.5 points
• Spread: Heat -12.5
• Moneyline: Heat (-769), Nets (+560)

How to watch Heat vs. Nets

• TV Channel: FDSSUN, YES

Betting the Over/Under: Heat vs. Nets

• In 44 games this season, the Heat and their opponents have gone over 225.5 total points.
• The Nets have played 27 games this season that finished with a combined score higher than 225.5 points.
• These two teams score 226.7 points per game combined, 1.2 more than this game's total.
• These two teams give up a combined 232.3 points per game, 6.8 more points than this matchup's total.

Betting the Spread: Heat vs. Nets

• Miami has compiled a 36-25-1 ATS record so far this year.
• The Heat have been favored by 12.5 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in each of them.
• The Nets have put together a 26-32-3 ATS record so far this year.
• When playing as at least 12.5-point underdogs this year, Brooklyn has an ATS record of 4-9-1.
• At home this season, the Heat are 19-11 overall and 17-13 against the spread.
• At home, Miami is unbeaten ATS (2-0) as a 12.5-point favorite or more.
• This season away from home, the Nets are 12-17-2 against the spread and 7-24 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Heat vs. Nets

• The Heat are 19-12 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 61.3% of those games).
• The Nets have won 12, or 21.1%, of the 57 games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Miami has not yet played as a moneyline favorite of -769 or shorter.
• Brooklyn has a record of 1-6 when it is set as the underdog by +560 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Heat an 88.5% chance to win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Heat vs. Nets

• Pick ATS: Heat (- 12.5)
• Pick OU: Over (225.5)
  
• Prediction: Heat 125 - Nets 107
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!