Merrimack vs. Niagara Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 1

The Merrimack Warriors (20-10, 16-3 MAAC) battle the Niagara Purple Eagles (8-21, 5-14 MAAC) on March 1, 2026 at Gallagher Center. The Warriors are favorites by 8.5 points as they enter the matchup 8-2 in their last 10 games. The matchup's over/under is set at 127.5.

Last time out, Merrimack lost 67-62 to Canisius on Friday. In Merrimack's loss, Kevair Kennedy led the way with a team-high 25 points (adding six rebounds and two assists). In its most recent game on Friday, Niagara earned a 78-76 OT victory against Quinnipiac. Will Shortt totaled 22 points, two rebounds and one assist for Niagara.

Merrimack vs. Niagara Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET
• Where: Gallagher Center in Lewiston, New York
• Spread favorite: Merrimack -8.5
• Moneyline favorite: Merrimack -420
• Moneyline underdog: Niagara +318
• Over/Under: 127.5 points

How to watch Merrimack vs. Niagara

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Merrimack vs. Niagara

• A total of 20 of Merrimack's games this season have gone over Sunday's total of 127.5 points.
• In Niagara's 28 games this season, 17 finished with more combined points than Sunday's over/under of 127.5.
• The Warriors average 69.2 points per game against the Purple Eagles' 63.8, totaling 5.5 points over the contest's over/under of 127.5.
• This matchup's total is 11.2 fewer points than the 138.7 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• Merrimack has seen a 136.7 average over/under in its games this season, 9.2 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 7.5 points lower than the average over/under in Niagara's games this season (135 points).

Betting the Spread: Merrimack vs. Niagara

• Against the spread, Merrimack is 19-11-0 this year.
• This season, the Warriors have just one ATS win in three games as a favorite of 8.5 points or more.
• Niagara has played 28 games, with 12 wins against the spread.
• So far this year, the Purple Eagles have been installed as underdogs by an 8.5-point margin or more 11 times and are 6-5 ATS in those matchups.
• Niagara is 6-5 against the spread, and 5-6 overall, at home this season.
• In away games, Merrimack is 9-7 against the spread, and 8-8 overall.
• Merrimack has one win ATS (1-1) on the road as 8.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Merrimack vs. Niagara

• This season, Merrimack has been moneyline favorites 14 times and won 12, or 85.7%, of those games.
• This season, the Warriors have won two of their three games when favored by at least -420 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 80.8% chance of a victory for Merrimack.
• Niagara has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 23 games this year and has walked away with the win five times (21.7%) in those games.
• The Purple Eagles have won all of their nine games in which they were named as at least a +318 moneyline underdog.
• Niagara has an implied victory probability of 23.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Merrimack vs. Niagara

• Pick ATS: Merrimack (- 8.5)
• Pick OU: Over (127.5)
  
• Prediction: Merrimack 76 - Niagara 63