Merrimack vs. Canisius Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 27
27 February 2026

In a game featuring one of the hottest squads in college basketball against one that is sputtering, the Merrimack Warriors (20-9, 16-2 MAAC), winners of eight in a row, and 9-1 in their past 10 games, face the Canisius Golden Griffins (9-20, 4-14 MAAC), are 1-9 in their past 10. The Warriors are favorites by 9.5 points for this contest at Koessler Athletic Center on February 27, 2026. The matchup's over/under is set at 130.5.
Merrimack took care of business in its last matchup 88-86 in OT against Iona on Sunday. Kevair Kennedy scored a team-high 20 points for Merrimack in the victory. Canisius is coming off of a 68-47 loss to Mount St. Mary's in its last outing on Sunday. Kahlil Singleton scored 15 points in Canisius' loss, leading the team.
Merrimack vs. Canisius Odds and Game Time
- When: Friday, February 27, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Koessler Athletic Center in Buffalo, New York
- Spread favorite: Merrimack -9.5
- Moneyline favorite: Merrimack -592
- Moneyline underdog: Canisius +410
- Over/Under: 130.5 points
How to watch Merrimack vs. Canisius
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Merrimack vs. Canisius
- A total of 19 of Merrimack's games this season have gone over Friday's over/under of 130.5 points.
- This season, 16 of Canisius' games have finished with a combined score higher than 130.5 points.
- Together, the two teams combine for 132.2 points per game, 1.7 points more than the point total of 130.5 for this matchup.
- These two teams surrender a combined 138.4 points per game, 7.9 more than this contest's over/under.
- On average, Merrimack has had a 136.9-point over/under in its games this season, 6.4 more points than the over/under in this contest.
- Canisius' games have an average over/under of 133.7 points this season, 3.2 more points than the over/under for this game.
Betting the Spread: Merrimack vs. Canisius
- Merrimack has 19 wins against the spread in 29 games this year.
- This season, the Warriors are winless against the spread when entering a game as a favorite of 9.5 points or more.
- Canisius has played 28 games, with 12 wins against the spread.
- The Golden Griffins are 5-7 ATS when underdogs by 9.5 points or more this season.
- At home this year, Canisius is 5-7 against the spread and 5-7 overall.
- Merrimack is 9-6 against the spread, and 8-7 overall, on the road.
Betting the Moneyline: Merrimack vs. Canisius
- Merrimack has entered the game as moneyline favorites 13 times this season and won 12, or 92.3%, of those games.
- The Warriors have not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -592 odds on them winning this game.
- The implied probability of a win from Merrimack, based on the moneyline, is 85.5%.
- Canisius has been victorious in six, or 24%, of the 25 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
- The Golden Griffins have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +410 or worse on the moneyline this season.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Canisius has a 19.6% chance of pulling out a win.
