McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 23

The McNeese Cowboys (23-5, 16-3 Southland), winners of nine of their last 10, play the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (16-12, 12-7 Southland), 9-1 in their past 10, on February 23, 2026 at The Legacy Center. The Cowboys are favored by 11.5 points. The matchup's over/under is set at 146.5.

McNeese took care of business in its last game 70-54 against Texas A&M-CC on Saturday. Larry Johnson scored a team-best 23 points for McNeese in the win. UT Rio Grande Valley heads into this matchup after a 96-75 victory over SE Louisiana on Saturday. In UT Rio Grande Valley's win, Koree Cotton led the team with 18 points (adding zero rebounds and two assists).

McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, February 23, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: The Legacy Center in Lake Charles, Louisiana
• Spread favorite: McNeese -11.5
• Moneyline favorite: McNeese -990
• Moneyline underdog: UT Rio Grande Valley +621
• Over/Under: 146.5 points

How to watch McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• McNeese and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (146.5 points) eight times this season.
• This season, 12 of UT Rio Grande Valley's games have ended with a combined score higher than 146.5 points.
• The Cowboys average 80.9 points per game against the Vaqueros' 76.2, amounting to 10.6 points over the matchup's point total of 146.5.
• The 136 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 10.5 less than the 146.5-point total in this contest.
• This season, the average over/under for McNeese's games is 147.3 points, 0.8 more than the total of 146.5 points set for this contest.
• UT Rio Grande Valley's games have an average over/under of 145.8 points this season, 0.7 points lower than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• In McNeese's 26 games this year, it has 13 wins against the spread.
• The Cowboys have an ATS record of 8-6 in their 14 games when favored by 11.5 points or more so far this season.
• In UT Rio Grande Valley's 26 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• This year, the Vaqueros have two ATS wins in three games as an underdog of 11.5 points or more.
• McNeese is 7-4 against the spread, and 11-0 overall, at home.
• At home, McNeese is 7-3 ATS as a 11.5-point favorite or greater.
• On the road, UT Rio Grande Valley is 10-5 against the spread, and 8-7 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• McNeese has won 20, or 87%, of the 23 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Cowboys have been at least a -990 moneyline favorite 13 times this season and won each of those games.
• The implied probability of a win from McNeese, based on the moneyline, is 90.8%.
• UT Rio Grande Valley has been a moneyline underdog in nine games this season and has come away with the win four times (44.4%) in those contests.
• This season, the Vaqueros have been a moneyline underdog of -990 or more three times, losing every contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UT Rio Grande Valley has a 13.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for McNeese vs. UT Rio Grande Valley

• Pick ATS: McNeese (- 11.5)
• Pick OU: Over (146.5)
  
• Prediction: McNeese 83 - UT Rio Grande Valley 68