Longwood vs. UNC Asheville Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Big South Tournament

The No. 5 seed Longwood Lancers (16-15, 8-8 Big South) are 1.5-point favorites in the Big South Tournament over the No. 4 seed UNC Asheville Bulldogs (14-16, 8-8 Big South) on Friday at Freedom Hall Civic Center. The matchup begins at 6 p.m. ET and airs on ESPN+, with both teams hoping to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total for the matchup is set at 140.5.

Longwood enters this game on the heels of a 90-74 victory over Radford on Saturday. In the win, Emanuel Richards paced Longwood with 19 points. UNC Asheville enters this game after a 92-75 loss to Charleston Southern on Saturday. Kameron Taylor scored a team-leading 35 points for UNC Asheville in the loss.

Longwood vs. UNC Asheville Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, March 6, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET
• Where: Freedom Hall Civic Center in Johnson City, Tennessee
• Spread favorite: Longwood -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Longwood -124
• Moneyline underdog: UNC Asheville -101
• Over/Under: 140.5 points

How to watch Longwood vs. UNC Asheville

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Longwood vs. UNC Asheville

• Longwood and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday's over/under (140.5 points) 20 times this season.
• This season, 16 of UNC Asheville's games have ended with a combined score higher than 140.5 points.
• The Lancers average 77.5 points per game against the Bulldogs' 73.1, totaling 10.1 points over the game's over/under of 140.5.
• This game's point total is 5.8 fewer points than the 146.3 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• This season, the average over/under for Longwood's games is 151.3 points, 10.8 more than the total of 140.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 5.2 points separates the average over/under in UNC Asheville's games (145.7 points) and this game's over/under (140.5).

Betting the Spread: Longwood vs. UNC Asheville

• Longwood is 13-15-0 against the spread this year.
• The Lancers have been favored by 1.5 points or more 12 times this season and are 5-7 ATS in those games.
• UNC Asheville has 12 wins against the spread in 27 games this year.
• So far this season, the Bulldogs have been installed as underdogs by a 1.5-point margin or more 15 times and are 9-6 ATS in those games.
• At home this year, UNC Asheville is 5-7 against the spread and 5-7 overall.
• This season, as a 1.5-point underdog or greater at home, UNC Asheville is 3-5 ATS.
• Longwood is 4-10 overall, and 6-8 against the spread, away from home.
• Longwood has one win ATS (1-2) on the road as 1.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Longwood vs. UNC Asheville

• This season, Longwood has been moneyline favorites 14 times and won 10, or 71.4%, of those games.
• The Lancers have entered 12 games this season favored by -124 or more and are 9-3 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from Longwood, based on the moneyline, is 55.4%.
• UNC Asheville has been a moneyline underdog in 14 games this season and has come away with the win three times (21.4%) in those contests.
• This year, the Bulldogs have won three of 14 games when listed as at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
• UNC Asheville has an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.