Little Rock vs. Morehead State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 26

The Little Rock Trojans (11-18, 8-10 OVC) are favored, by 2.5 points, as they play the Morehead State Eagles (18-12, 14-5 OVC) on February 26, 2026 at Jack Stephens Center. The contest features one of the coldest squads in the nation versus one of the hottest, as the Trojans are 2-8 in their past 10 games. Meanwhile, the Eagles have won six straight, and have gone 8-2 in their past 10. The over/under for the matchup is set at 140.5.

Little Rock dropped its last game 70-65 against Southeast Missouri State on Saturday. In the losing effort, Kachi Nzeh paced Little Rock with 16 points. Morehead State's most recent outing on Tuesday ended in a 64-63 victory against Southern Indiana. George Marshall scored a team-best 22 points for Morehead State in the win.

Little Rock vs. Morehead State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Jack Stephens Center in Little Rock, Arkansas
• Spread favorite: Little Rock -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: Little Rock -145
• Moneyline underdog: Morehead State +118
• Over/Under: 140.5 points

How to watch Little Rock vs. Morehead State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Little Rock vs. Morehead State

• A total of 12 of Little Rock's games this season have gone over Thursday's total of 140.5 points.
• A total of 16 of Morehead State's games have finished with a combined score higher than 140.5 points this season.
• The total for the matchup of 140.5 is 5.5 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Trojans (70.2 points per game) and the Eagles (75.8 points per game).
• The 149 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 8.5 more than the 140.5 over/under in this contest.
• Little Rock has seen a 144.5 average over/under in its games this season, 4.0 points more than the over/under in this contest.
• Morehead State's games have an average over/under of 150.6 points this season, 10.1 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Little Rock vs. Morehead State

• Little Rock has played 27 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
• The Trojans have been favored by 2.5 points or more six times this season and are 3-3 ATS in those contests.
• Morehead State has played 27 games, with 16 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Eagles have been installed as underdogs by a 2.5-point margin or more 14 times and are 6-8 ATS in those matchups.
• Little Rock is 4-5 overall, and 3-6 against the spread, at home.
• At home, Little Rock has one win ATS (1-1) as a 2.5-point favorite or more.
• In away games, Morehead State is 9-7 against the spread, and 6-10 overall.
• Morehead State is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 2.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Little Rock vs. Morehead State

• Little Rock has won five of the eight games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Trojans have entered three games this season favored by -145 or more, and won each of those games.
• Little Rock has a 59.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Morehead State has been victorious in six, or 35.3%, of the 17 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This year, the Eagles have won three of 14 games when listed as at least +118 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Morehead State has a 45.9% chance of walking away with the win.