Chiefs vs. Broncos Week 1 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

In a battle of two division rivals, the Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) will face off against the Denver Broncos (0-0). The Chiefs are slim favorites (-1.5). The over/under for this one is set at 43.5 points.

The Chiefs ranked 21st in scoring offense (21.3 points per game) and sixth in scoring defense (19.3 points allowed per game) last season. The Broncos owned the 14th-ranked offense last year (23.6 points per game), and they were more effective on defense, ranking third-best with only 18.3 points allowed per game.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Odds and Game Time

• Date: Monday, September 14, 2026
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• City: Kansas City, Missouri
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Total: 43.5 points
• Spread: Chiefs -1.5
• Moneyline: Chiefs (-135), Broncos (+114)

How to watch Chiefs vs. Broncos

• TV Channel: ABC/ESPN

Betting the Over/Under: Chiefs vs. Broncos

• The Chiefs and their opponents went over 43.5 combined points in six of 17 games last season.
• A total of four of the Chiefs' games last season hit the over.
• The Broncos played six games last season that finished with a combined score above 43.5 points.
• Denver and its opponent combined to hit the over seven out of 17 times last year.
• The two teams combined to score 44.9 points per game last season, 1.4 more points than the total for this matchup.
• These two teams allowed a combined 37.6 points per game last year, 5.9 fewer points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Chiefs vs. Broncos

• Kansas City went 6-11-0 ATS last season.
• Kansas City had an ATS record of 4-10 when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites last season.
• The Broncos won seven games against the spread last year, while failing to cover 10 times.
• Denver was 4-1 ATS last season when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
• At home last season, the Chiefs were 5-4 against the spread and 5-4 overall.
• Last year, as 1.5-point favorites or more at home, Kansas City was 3-3 ATS.
• In away games last season, the Broncos had two wins against the spread and were 6-2 overall.
• Denver had two wins ATS (2-1) away from home as 1.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Chiefs vs. Broncos

• Kansas City won 35.7% of the games last season when it was the moneyline favorite (5-9).
• The Broncos were underdogs five times last season and won four of those games.
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -135 or shorter, Kansas City had a record of 5-9 (35.7%).
• Denver had a record of 2-1 when it was set as an underdog of +114 or more by bookmakers last season.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Chiefs have an implied win probability of 57.4%.

Dunkel Prediction for Chiefs vs. Broncos

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