Chiefs vs. Broncos Week 1 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

In a battle of two division rivals, the Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) will play the Denver Broncos (0-0). The Chiefs are slim favorites (-2.5). An over/under of 43.5 points has been set for the matchup.

The Chiefs compiled 320.6 yards per game on offense last season (20th in NFL), and they ranked 10th defensively with 301.5 yards allowed per game. On the defensive side of the ball, the Broncos were a top-five unit last season, ranking third-best by surrendering only 18.3 points per game. They ranked 14th on offense (23.6 points per game).

Chiefs vs. Broncos Odds and Game Time

• Date: Monday, September 14, 2026
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• City: Kansas City, Missouri
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Total: 43.5 points
• Spread: Chiefs -2.5
• Moneyline: Chiefs (-155), Broncos (+130)

How to watch Chiefs vs. Broncos

• TV Channel: ABC/ESPN

Betting the Over/Under: Chiefs vs. Broncos

• The Chiefs and their opponents went over 43.5 combined points in six of 17 games last season.
• Last season, four of the Chiefs' games went over the point total.
• Denver played six games last season that ended with a combined score over 43.5 points.
• A total of seven of Denver's games last season went over the point total.
• These two teams averaged a combined 44.9 points per game last season, 1.4 more points than this matchup's total.
• These teams allowed a combined 37.6 points per game last year, 5.9 fewer points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Chiefs vs. Broncos

• Kansas City covered six times in 17 matchups with a spread last season.
• Kansas City was 4-9 ATS last season when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
• The Broncos covered seven times in 17 matchups with a spread last year.
• Denver covered the spread twice last season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
• At home last year, the Chiefs were 5-4 overall and 5-4 against the spread.
• At home last year, Kansas City was 3-3 ATS as 2.5-point favorites or more.
• The Broncos had two wins against the spread, and were 6-2 overall, on the road last season.
• On the road, Denver had one win ATS (1-1) as 2.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Chiefs vs. Broncos

• Kansas City won five of the 14 games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (35.7%).
• The Broncos were underdogs in five games last season and won four (80%) of those contests.
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -155 or shorter, Kansas City went 4-8 (33.3%).
• Denver entered two games last season as the underdog by +130 or more and won each of those games.
• The Chiefs have a 60.8% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.

Dunkel Prediction for Chiefs vs. Broncos

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