Green Bay vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Horizon League Tournament
03 March 2026

The Horizon League conference tournament continues Tuesday as the No. 5 seed Green Bay Phoenix (17-14, 12-8 Horizon League) face off against the No. 6 seed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (17-14, 11-9 Horizon League) at Kress Events Center, starting at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Green Bay is a 4-point favorite to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 145.5 points.
Green Bay is coming off of an 85-63 win over Youngstown State in its last game on Saturday. In the victory, Justin Allen led Green Bay with 22 points. Purdue Fort Wayne enters this contest after an 87-81 victory against IU Indianapolis on Saturday. In Purdue Fort Wayne's win, Corey Hadnot II led the team with 17 points (adding three rebounds and one assist).
Green Bay vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Odds and Game Time
- When: Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Kress Events Center in Green Bay, Wisconsin
- Spread favorite: Green Bay -4
- Moneyline favorite: Green Bay -203
- Moneyline underdog: Purdue Fort Wayne +164
- Over/Under: 145.5 points
How to watch Green Bay vs. Purdue Fort Wayne
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Green Bay vs. Purdue Fort Wayne
- This season, Green Bay's games have seen a combined score higher than this matchup's 145.5-point total 16 times.
- In Purdue Fort Wayne's 28 games this season, 18 finished with more combined points than Tuesday's total of 145.5.
- The point total for the matchup of 145.5 is 8.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Phoenix (75.1 points per game) and the Mastodons (78.8 points per game).
- The 152.3 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 6.8 more than the 145.5 over/under in this contest.
- On average, Green Bay has had a 149.9-point over/under in its games this season, 4.4 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
- A difference of 10.8 points separates the average over/under in Purdue Fort Wayne's games (156.3 points) and this game's over/under (145.5).
Betting the Spread: Green Bay vs. Purdue Fort Wayne
- Green Bay has 18 wins against the spread in 29 games this season.
- This season, the Phoenix have two ATS wins in three games as a favorite of 4 points or more.
- Purdue Fort Wayne is 13-15-0 against the spread this season.
- So far this season, the Mastodons have been installed as underdogs by a 4-point margin or more 10 times and are 5-5 ATS in those contests.
- Green Bay is 7-4 against the spread, and 7-4 overall, at home.
- At home, as a 4-point favorite or more, Green Bay has two wins ATS (2-1).
- Purdue Fort Wayne is 8-8 against the spread, and 6-10 overall, in away games.
Betting the Moneyline: Green Bay vs. Purdue Fort Wayne
- This season, Green Bay has been moneyline favorites six times and won four of those games.
- The Phoenix have played as a favorite of -203 or more twice this season and split those games.
- The implied probability of a win from Green Bay, based on the moneyline, is 67%.
- Purdue Fort Wayne has won in three, or 23.1%, of the 13 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
- The Mastodons have a win-loss record of 2-7 with odds of +164 or worse this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Purdue Fort Wayne has a 37.9% chance of walking away with the win.
