Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA) Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 28

The No. 9 Gonzaga Bulldogs (28-2, 16-1 WCC) are favorites, by 1.5 points, against the Saint Mary's Gaels (26-4, 15-2 WCC) on February 28, 2026 at University Credit Union Pavilion. The matchup features two of the hottest squads in college basketball, as the Bulldogs have won six in a row, and are 9-1 in their past 10 games, while the Gaels have won seven straight, and have gone 9-1 in their past 10. The over/under for the matchup is set at 142.5.

In its last time out, Gonzaga won on Wednesday 89-48 over Portland. In Gonzaga's win, Graham Ike led the way with a team-high 19 points (adding eight rebounds and one assist). In its most recent game on Wednesday, Saint Mary's (CA) earned an 86-67 win over Santa Clara. Mikey Lewis scored 21 points in Saint Mary's (CA)'s win, leading the team.

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA) Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 10:30 p.m. ET
• Where: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, California
• Spread favorite: Gonzaga -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Gonzaga -142
• Moneyline underdog: Saint Mary's (CA) +117
• Over/Under: 142.5 points

How to watch Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA)

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA)

• Gonzaga and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (142.5 points) 19 times this season.
• In Saint Mary's (CA)'s 28 games this season, 15 finished with more combined points than Saturday's over/under of 142.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 165.6 points per game, 23.1 points more than the total of 142.5 for this matchup.
• This game's over/under is 12.0 fewer points than the 130.5 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• Gonzaga has seen a 153 average over/under in its games this season, 10.5 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this game is 0.6 points lower than the average over/under in Saint Mary's (CA)'s games this season (143.1 points).

Betting the Spread: Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA)

• Against the spread, Gonzaga is 18-12-0 this year.
• The Bulldogs have an against the spread record of 18-12 in their 30 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more so far this season.
• Saint Mary's (CA) has 16 wins against the spread in 28 games this year.
• The Gaels have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 1.5 points or more (in three chances).
• Saint Mary's (CA) is 14-0 overall, and 10-4 against the spread, at home.
• At home, Saint Mary's (CA) is 10-4 ATS as a 1.5-point underdog or more.
• Gonzaga is 8-1 overall, and 6-3 against the spread, away from home.
• Gonzaga is 6-3 ATS as 1.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA)

• Gonzaga has won 26, or 92.9%, of the 28 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Bulldogs are 26-2 this season when entering a game favored by -142 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Gonzaga, based on the moneyline, is 58.7%.
• Saint Mary's (CA) has been posted as the moneyline underdog three times this season but has yet walk away from any of those games with an upset.
• The Gaels have been listed as an underdog of +117 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• Saint Mary's (CA) has an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA)

• Pick ATS: Saint Mary's (CA) (+ 1.5)
• Pick OU: Over (142.5)
  
• Prediction: Saint Mary's (CA) 74 - Gonzaga 73