Golden Knights vs. Penguins NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 1
01 March 2026

The Vegas Golden Knights and Pittsburgh Penguins -- both coming off losses in their last game -- will play on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET, at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh. Golden Knights (-148) at Penguins (+124) has a clear favorite, according to the moneyline odds.
Vegas' last game was a 3-2 road loss against the Washington Capitals on Feb. 27. Six Golden Knights players recorded one point each, including Braeden Bowman (one goal) and Mitchell Marner (one assist).
Pittsburgh played on the road in its last game on Feb. 28, and fell to the New York Rangers 3-2 in a shootout (1-0). The Penguins got one point apiece out of six skaters in that matchup, including Bryan Rust (one assist) and Blake Lizotte (one assist).
To prepare for this matchup, here's who we expect to bring home the win in Sunday's hockey action.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Golden Knights vs. Penguins Predictions & Pick
Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Vegas Golden Knights and Pittsburgh Penguins, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Golden Knights 3 - Penguins 2
- Pick OU:
Under 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 5.09 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Golden Knights vs. Penguins Moneylines
Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Golden Knights-Penguins matchup.
- Favorite: Golden Knights (-148)
- Underdog: Penguins (+124)
Golden Knights Betting Insights
- The Golden Knights have won 49.0% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (24-25).
- Vegas is 15-15 (winning 50.0% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -148 or shorter.
- Based on this contest's moneyline, the Golden Knights have an implied probability of 59.7% to win.
- Vegas and its opponent have posted more than 6.5 goals in 31 of 59 games this season.
Penguins Betting Insights
- The Penguins have been an underdog in 31 games this season, and won 16 (51.6%).
- Pittsburgh has a record of 6-8 in games when oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +124 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Penguins have a 44.6% chance to win.
- Pittsburgh and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 29 of 58 games this season.
Golden Knights Key Stats
- Vegas' 198 total goals (3.4 per game) make it the eighth-highest scoring team in the NHL.
- The Golden Knights have allowed 180 total goals (3.0 per game), ranking 13th in NHL action in goals against.
- It has the league's ninth-best goal differential at +18.
- The 44 power-play goals the Golden Knights have recorded this season (on 170 power-play chances) are the sixth-most in the NHL.
- Vegas has the league's fifth-best power-play conversion rate (25.88%).
- The Golden Knights have scored two shorthanded goals this season.
- Vegas kills 82.14% of opponent power plays, the eighth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- Vegas wins 50.7% of its faceoffs (11th in NHL).
- The Golden Knights shoot 11.7% as a team (eighth in the league).
Penguins Key Stats
- Pittsburgh is 10th in the league in scoring (197 goals, 3.4 per game).
- The Penguins concede 2.8 goals per game (165 in total), the sixth-fewest in the NHL.
- It has the fifth-best goal differential in the league at +32.
- With 40 power-play goals (on 153 chances), the Penguins are 10th-best in the NHL.
- Pittsburgh has the NHL's third-best power-play percentage (26.14%).
- In terms of shorthanded goals, the Penguins have four.
- The 84.12% penalty-kill percentage of Pittsburgh is second in the league.
- At 49.5%, Pittsburgh has the league's 19th-ranked faceoff win rate.
- The Penguins' 11.7% shooting percentage is eighth in the league.
