Florida vs. Arkansas Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 28

The No. 7 Florida Gators (22-6, 13-2 SEC) are favored, by 9.5 points, versus the No. 20 Arkansas Razorbacks (21-7, 11-4 SEC) on February 28, 2026 at Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center. The Gators have won eight in a row, and are 9-1 in their past 10 games, while the Razorbacks have won two straight, and have gone 8-2 in their past 10. The matchup's point total is 168.5.

Florida heads into this game after an 84-71 victory over Texas on Wednesday. In Florida's win, Alex Condon led the way with a team-high 23 points (adding four rebounds and three assists). Arkansas took care of business in its last outing 99-84 against Texas A&M on Wednesday. Billy Richmond III put up 23 points, two rebounds and three assists for Arkansas.

Florida vs. Arkansas Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center in Gainesville, Florida
• Spread favorite: Florida -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Florida -518
• Moneyline underdog: Arkansas +372
• Over/Under: 168.5 points

How to watch Florida vs. Arkansas

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Florida vs. Arkansas

• Florida and its opponents have combined to exceed Saturday's over/under of 168.5 points seven times this season.
• There have been 12 Arkansas games that finished with a combined score over 168.5 points this season.
• The point total for the matchup of 168.5 is 8.1 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Gators (86.3 points per game) and the Razorbacks (90.3 points per game).
• These two teams surrender a combined 149.7 points per game, 18.8 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for Florida's games is 157.5 points, 11.0 lower than the over/under of 168.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 0.3 points separates the average over/under in Arkansas' games (168.8 points) and this contest's over/under (168.5).

Betting the Spread: Florida vs. Arkansas

• Florida has played 28 games, with 16 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Gators have an ATS record of 7-10 in their 17 games as a favorite of 9.5 points or more.
• Arkansas has played 28 games, with 19 wins against the spread.
• The Razorbacks covered the spread in their only game when underdogs by 9.5 points or more.
• Florida is 5-8 against the spread, and 12-1 overall, at home this year.
• At home, Florida is 3-8 ATS as a 9.5-point favorite or greater.
• Arkansas is 5-3 against the spread, and 4-4 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Florida vs. Arkansas

• Florida has won 20, or 83.3%, of the 24 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• This season, the Gators have won 12 of their 14 games, or 85.7%, when favored by at least -518 on the moneyline.
• Florida has a 83.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Arkansas has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in eight games this year and has walked away with the win two times (25%) in those games.
• The Razorbacks have played as an underdog of +372 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Arkansas has a 21.2% chance of pulling out a win.