Fairfield vs. Manhattan Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - MAAC Tournament

The No. 7 seed Fairfield Stags (19-12, 11-9 MAAC) are favored by 4.5 points when they square off the No. 10 seed Manhattan Jaspers (12-19, 8-12 MAAC) in the MAAC Tournament. The teams will look to take another step toward an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket on Thursday at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall starting at 8:30 p.m. ET and airing on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 147.5 points.

Last time out, Fairfield lost 69-47 to Mount St. Mary's on Sunday. In Fairfield's loss, Braden Sparks led the way with a team-high 15 points (adding two rebounds and one assist). Manhattan heads into this game following a 69-65 loss to Iona on Sunday. Terrance Jones scored 23 points in Manhattan's loss, leading the team.

Fairfield vs. Manhattan Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City, New Jersey
• Spread favorite: Fairfield -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Fairfield -210
• Moneyline underdog: Manhattan +173
• Over/Under: 147.5 points

How to watch Fairfield vs. Manhattan

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Fairfield vs. Manhattan

• Fairfield and its opponents have combined to outscore Thursday's total of 147.5 points 12 times this season.
• This season, 16 games Manhattan has played finished with a combined score higher than 147.5 points.
• The Stags average 74.9 points per game against the Jaspers' 74.5, amounting to 1.9 points over the game's point total of 147.5.
• The 151.5 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 4.0 more than the 147.5 over/under in this contest.
• Fairfield has seen a 147.2 average over/under in its games this season, 0.3 less than the over/under in this contest.
• Manhattan's games have an average over/under of 153.7 points this season, 6.2 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Fairfield vs. Manhattan

• In Fairfield's 30 games this year, it has 13 wins against the spread.
• The Stags are 3-7 ATS when favored by 4.5 points or more this season.
• Manhattan has played 30 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
• So far this year, the Jaspers have been installed as underdogs by a 4.5-point margin or more 16 times and are 3-13 ATS in those contests.
• At home this season, Fairfield is 5-10 against the spread and 11-4 overall.
• At home, as a 4.5-point favorite or greater, Fairfield has two wins ATS (2-6).
• In away games, Manhattan is 4-11 against the spread, and 3-12 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Fairfield vs. Manhattan

• Fairfield has entered the game as moneyline favorites 16 times this season and won 12, or 75%, of those games.
• The Stags have entered 10 games this season favored by -210 or more and are 9-1 in those contests.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 67.7% chance of a victory for Fairfield.
• Manhattan has been a moneyline underdog in 21 games this season and has come away with the win five times (23.8%) in those contests.
• This season, the Jaspers have been victorious one time in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +173 or worse on the moneyline.
• Manhattan has an implied victory probability of 36.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.