Duke vs. Virginia Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 28

The No. 1 Duke Blue Devils (26-2, 14-1 ACC), winners of nine of their last 10, battle the No. 11 Virginia Cavaliers (25-3, 13-2 ACC), 9-1 in their past 10, on February 28, 2026 at Cameron Indoor Stadium. The Blue Devils are favorites by 10.5 points. The over/under in the matchup is 136.5.

In its most recent matchup on Tuesday, Duke secured a 100-56 win against Notre Dame. In the win, Cameron Boozer paced Duke with 24 points. Virginia's most recent contest on Tuesday ended in a 90-61 win over NC State. Thijs De Ridder put up 19 points, four rebounds and two assists for Virginia.

Duke vs. Virginia Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 12 p.m. ET
• Where: Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, North Carolina
• Spread favorite: Duke -10.5
• Moneyline favorite: Duke -719
• Moneyline underdog: Virginia +500
• Over/Under: 136.5 points

How to watch Duke vs. Virginia

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Duke vs. Virginia

• Duke and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (136.5 points) 17 times this season.
• This season, 23 of Virginia's games have finished with a combined score higher than 136.5 points.
• The total for the contest of 136.5 is 28.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Blue Devils (83.0 points per game) and the Cavaliers (82.3 points per game).
• The 130.7 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 5.8 fewer than the 136.5 over/under in this contest.
• On average, Duke has had a 145.9-point over/under in its games this season, 9.4 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• Virginia's games have an average over/under of 150.1 points this season, 13.6 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Duke vs. Virginia

• In Duke's 28 games this year, it has 16 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Blue Devils have an against-the-spread record of 12-9 in their 21 games as a favorite of 10.5 points or more.
• Virginia is 15-13-0 against the spread this season.
• At home this season, Duke is 6-7 against the spread and 13-0 overall.
• Duke is 5-6 ATS as a 10.5-point favorite or more at home.
• Virginia is 5-4 against the spread, and 8-1 overall, on the road.
• Virginia has one win ATS (1-1) away from home as 10.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Duke vs. Virginia

• Duke has been the moneyline favorite in 24 games this season and won 22 (91.7%) of those contests.
• The Blue Devils have entered 16 games this season favored by -719 or more, and won each of those games.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Duke has a 87.8% chance to win.
• Virginia has been listed as the moneyline underdog three times this season and has come away with a win in all of those games.
• This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Cavaliers this season with a +500 moneyline set for this game.
• Virginia has an implied victory probability of 16.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.