Duke vs. NC State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 2

The No. 1 Duke Blue Devils (27-2, 15-1 ACC) are favored by 9.5 points versus the NC State Wolfpack (19-10, 10-6 ACC) on March 2, 2026 at Lenovo Center. The Blue Devils are on a roll, having won six in a row and going 9-1 in their past 10 games. The matchup's point total is set at 148.5.

Duke is coming off of a 77-51 victory over Virginia in its most recent game on Saturday. In Duke's win, Isaiah Evans led the way with a team-high 19 points (adding zero rebounds and three assists). NC State's most recent contest on Saturday ended in a 96-90 loss to Notre Dame in overtime. Ven-Allen Lubin totaled 24 points, 10 rebounds and zero assists for NC State.

Duke vs. NC State Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, March 2, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Lenovo Center in Raleigh, North Carolina
• Spread favorite: Duke -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Duke -613
• Moneyline underdog: NC State +418
• Over/Under: 148.5 points

How to watch Duke vs. NC State

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Duke vs. NC State

• Duke and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (148.5 points) 14 times this season.
• There have been 23 NC State games that ended with a combined score over 148.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 167 points per game, 18.5 points more than the point total of 148.5 for this contest.
• These two teams give up a combined 137.6 points per game, 10.9 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for Duke's games is 145.3 points, 3.2 lower than the over/under of 148.5 points set for this contest.
• NC State's games have an average over/under of 159.3 points this season, 10.8 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Duke vs. NC State

• Against the spread, Duke is 17-12-0 this season.
• The Blue Devils have been favored by 9.5 points or more 22 times this season and are 13-9 ATS in those games.
• NC State has 14 wins against the spread in 29 games this year.
• NC State is 8-7 against the spread, and 11-4 overall, at home.
• As a 9.5-point underdog or more at home, NC State is 7-4 ATS.
• Away from home, Duke is 9-1 overall and 7-3 against the spread.
• This year, as 9.5-point favorites or more away from home, Duke is 5-2 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Duke vs. NC State

• This season, Duke has been moneyline favorites 25 times and won 23, or 92%, of those games.
• The Blue Devils have entered 18 games this season favored by -613 or more, and won each of those games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 86% chance of a victory for Duke.
• NC State has been victorious in one of the four contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Wolfpack have yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +418.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies NC State has a 19.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.