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Devils vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 4

04 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The New Jersey Devils (30-29-2) host the Toronto Maple Leafs (27-24-10) on Wednesday, March 4, with the Devils coming off a win and the Maple Leafs a loss. Devils (-122) versus Maple Leafs (+102) appears pretty close, according to the moneyline odds.

New Jersey earned a 5-1 victory at home its last time out on March 3 against the Florida Panthers. Three Devils players had two points each, including Jack Hughes (two assists) and Connor Brown (two assists).

Toronto was at home for its most recent game on March 2, and fell to the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2, losing a shootout 2-1. Matthew Knies (one assist) and Matias Maccelli (one assist) were among the five Maple Leafs players who put up one point each in that outing.

As hockey action continues, get ready for the matchup by checking out which club we predict will pick up the victory in Wednesday's game.

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Devils vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming contest between the New Jersey Devils and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Maple Leafs 2 - Devils 1
  • Pick OU: Under 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 3.02 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Devils vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Take a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Devils-Maple Leafs matchup.

  • Favorite: Devils (-122)
  • Underdog: Maple Leafs (+102)

Devils Betting Insights

  • The Devils are 17-18 this season when favored on the moneyline.
  • New Jersey is 13-12 (winning 52.0% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -122 or shorter.
  • The Devils' implied moneyline win probability is 55.0% in this contest.
  • New Jersey and its opponent have combined to score more than 5.5 goals in 24 of 61 games this season.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

  • This season the Maple Leafs have been an underdog 28 times, and won 11, or 39.3%, of those games.
  • Toronto has entered 24 games this season as an underdog by +102 or more and is 9-15 in those contests.
  • The Maple Leafs have a 49.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Toronto has played 40 games this season that ended with more than 5.5 goals.

Devils Key Stats

  • New Jersey's 153 total goals (2.5 per game) rank 29th in the league.
  • Defensively, the Devils are conceding 183 total goals (three per game) to rank 13th in league play.
  • It has the league's 26th-ranked goal differential at -30.
  • The 31 power-play goals the Devils have put up this season (on 155 power-play chances) rank 21st in the NHL.
  • New Jersey's 20% power-play conversion rate ranks 16th in the league.
  • The Devils have recorded four shorthanded goals this season (18th among NHL teams).
  • New Jersey's 80% penalty-kill success rate ranks 14th in the league.
  • New Jersey wins the 10th-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 50.8%.
  • The Devils connect on 8.6% of their shots (31st in the league).

Maple Leafs Key Stats

  • Toronto has 194 goals this season (3.2 per game), 14th in the NHL.
  • The Maple Leafs' total of 209 goals allowed (3.4 per game) is 29th in the NHL.
  • it has the 21st-ranked goal differential in the league at -15.
  • The Maple Leafs have 28 power-play goals (on 143 chances), 28th in the NHL.
  • Toronto has the league's 19th-ranked power-play percentage (19.58%).
  • This season, the Maple Leafs have three shorthanded goals (22nd in league).
  • At 83.12%, Toronto has the fourth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • Toronto wins 56% of faceoffs, No. 1 in the NHL.
  • With a shooting percentage of 11.6%, the Maple Leafs are eighth in the league.

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