Mavericks vs. Kings Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Feb. 26

The Dallas Mavericks (21-36) will try to snap a five-game home losing skid when taking on the Sacramento Kings (13-47) on February 26, 2026 at American Airlines Center.

Thursday's game between the Mavericks and the Kings sees the Mavericks as a solid, 7-point favorite. The over/under for the game is set at 236.5.

Mavericks vs. Kings Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, February 26, 2026
• Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Dallas, Texas
• Arena: American Airlines Center
• Total: 236.5 points
• Spread: Mavericks -7
• Moneyline: Mavericks (-290), Kings (+230)

How to watch Mavericks vs. Kings

• TV Channel: KFAA, NBCS-CA, WFAA

Betting the Over/Under: Mavericks vs. Kings

• Mavericks games this season have featured more combined points than this contest's total of 236.5 points 19 times.
• The Kings have played 22 games this season that have had more than 236.5 combined points scored.
• These teams rack up a combined 224.5 points per game, 12 fewer points than this matchup's total.
• Combined, these teams surrender 238.7 points per game, 2.2 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Mavericks vs. Kings

• Dallas has covered 25 times in 57 matchups with a spread this season.
• The Mavericks have not covered the spread this season (0-2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 7-point favorites.
• The Kings have covered 22 times in 60 chances against the spread this season.
• Sacramento is 16-18-1 ATS this year when playing as at least 7-point underdogs.
• The Mavericks are 15-14-1 against the spread, and 14-16 overall, at home this year.
• Dallas is winless ATS (0-2-1) as a 7-point favorite or greater at home.
• The Kings are 4-27 overall, and 11-19-1 against the spread, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Mavericks vs. Kings

• The Mavericks have won nine of the 18 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (50%).
• The Kings have won 10, or 18.5%, of the 54 games they've played as underdogs this season.
• In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -290 or shorter, Dallas has a record of 1-2 (33.3% win percentage).
• This season, Sacramento has won seven of its 33 games, or 21.2%, when it is the underdog by at least +230 on the moneyline.
• The Mavericks have an implied moneyline win probability of 74.4% in this game.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Mavericks vs. Kings

• Pick ATS: Kings (+ 7)
• Pick OU: Over (236.5)
  
• Prediction: Mavericks 121 - Kings 118
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!