Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Feb. 27

The Memphis Grizzlies (21-36) will attempt to stop a five-game road losing streak when visiting the Dallas Mavericks (21-37) on February 27, 2026 at American Airlines Center.

Dallas is a modest 4-point favorite against Memphis when the Mavericks face off with the Grizzlies on Friday. The matchup's over/under is 238.5.

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Friday, February 27, 2026
• Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Dallas, Texas
• Arena: American Airlines Center
• Total: 238.5 points
• Spread: Mavericks -4
• Moneyline: Mavericks (-174), Grizzlies (+144)

How to watch Mavericks vs. Grizzlies

• TV Channel: KFAA, FDSSE, WFAA

Betting the Over/Under: Mavericks vs. Grizzlies

• The Mavericks and their opponents have gone over 238.5 combined points in 17 of 58 games this season.
• Grizzlies games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 238.5 points in 20 of 57 outings.
• These teams average a combined 229.9 points per game, 8.6 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.
• Combined, these teams surrender 236 points per game, 2.5 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Mavericks vs. Grizzlies

• Dallas has put together a 25-32-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Mavericks have been favored by 4 points or more eight times this season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
• The Grizzlies have covered 25 times in 57 chances against the spread this year.
• Memphis has covered the spread 11 times this year (11-17-1 ATS) when playing as at least 4-point underdogs.
• At home this year, the Mavericks are 14-17 overall and 15-15-1 against the spread.
• Dallas is winless ATS (0-4-1) as a 4-point favorite or greater at home.
• The Grizzlies are 9-19 overall, and 13-14-1 against the spread, in away games.
• Memphis has one win ATS (1-1) on the road as 4-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Mavericks vs. Grizzlies

• The Mavericks have put together a 9-10 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 47.4% of those games).
• This season, the Grizzlies have been the underdog 38 times and won nine, or 23.7%, of those games.
• Dallas has gone 4-4 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -174 or shorter (winning 50%).
• Memphis has a record of 5-25, a 16.7% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +144 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Mavericks a 63.5% chance to win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Mavericks vs. Grizzlies

• Pick ATS: Grizzlies (+ 4)
• Pick OU: Under (238.5)
  
• Prediction: Mavericks 116 - Grizzlies 115
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!