Hornets vs. Heat Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 6

A pair of hot squads hit the court when the Charlotte Hornets (32-31) host the Miami Heat (34-29) on March 6, 2026. The Hornets are putting their six-game winning streak on the line versus the Heat, victors in three in a row.

Friday's game between the Hornets and the Heat sees the Hornets as a strong, 8-point favorite. The over/under is 229.5 points for the game.

Hornets vs. Heat Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Friday, March 6, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
• Arena: Spectrum Center
• Total: 229.5 points
• Spread: Hornets -8
• Moneyline: Hornets (-330), Heat (+265)

How to watch Hornets vs. Heat

• TV Channel: FDSSUN, FDSSE

Betting the Over/Under: Hornets vs. Heat

• The Hornets and their opponents have scored more than 229.5 points in 30 of 63 games this season.
• The Heat have combined with their opponent to score more than 229.5 points in 41 of 63 games this season.
• These teams score 236.1 points per game combined, 6.6 more than this game's over/under.
• These two teams surrender a combined 228.9 points per game, 0.6 fewer points than this contest's total.

Betting the Spread: Hornets vs. Heat

• Charlotte has compiled a 40-22-1 ATS record so far this year.
• When playing as at least 8-point favorites this season, the Hornets have an ATS record of 4-1.
• The Heat have put together a 37-25-1 record against the spread this season.
• Miami has been an underdog by 8 points or more four times this year, and covered the spread in three of those games.
• At home this season, the Hornets are 18-11-1 against the spread and 14-16 overall.
• Charlotte has one win ATS (1-1) as a 8-point favorite or greater at home.
• This year in away games, the Heat are 19-12-1 against the spread and 14-18 overall.
• Miami is unbeaten ATS (1-0) on the road as 8-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Hornets vs. Heat

• The Hornets have gone 16-3 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 84.2% of those games).
• The Heat have been underdogs in 31 games this season and won 14 (45.2%) of those contests.
• Charlotte has won all four games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -330 or shorter.
• Miami has a record of 1-3 when it is set as the underdog by +265 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Hornets have an implied win probability of 76.7%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Hornets vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Hornets (- 8)
• Pick OU: Over (229.5)
  
• Prediction: Hornets 123 - Heat 111
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!