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Canadiens vs. Capitals NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Feb. 28

28 February 2026 By Data Skrive

The Montreal Canadiens (32-17-9) host the Washington Capitals (31-23-7) on Saturday, Feb. 28, with the Canadiens coming off a loss and the Capitals a win. The Capitals are underdogs on the road, at +136, and the Canadiens are -162.

Montreal lost 4-3 in overtime at home in its last game on Feb. 26 against the New York Islanders. Noah Dobson's two points (two goals) led the Canadiens.

Washington won its last game 3-2 at home against the Vegas Golden Knights on Feb. 27. Pierre-Luc Dubois' three points (two goals and one assist) in that matchup led the Capitals.

Prepare for this matchup with a glimpse at who we project to emerge with the victory in Saturday's game.

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Canadiens vs. Capitals Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Montreal Canadiens and Washington Capitals, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Canadiens 4 - Capitals 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.04 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Canadiens vs. Capitals Moneylines

Take a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Canadiens-Capitals matchup.

  • Favorite: Canadiens (-162)
  • Underdog: Capitals (+136)

Canadiens Betting Insights

  • In the 25 times this season the Canadiens have been a moneyline favorite, they have gone 13-12 in those games.
  • In games it has played with moneyline odds of -162 or shorter, Montreal has compiled a 4-1 record (winning 80.0% of its games).
  • The Canadiens have a 61.8% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this game.
  • Montreal's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 34 times.

Capitals Betting Insights

  • This season the Capitals have been an underdog 18 times, and won six, or 33.3%, of those games.
  • Washington has a record of 2-2 in games when sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +136 on the moneyline.
  • The Capitals have a 42.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Washington has played 25 games this season that finished with more than 6.5 goals.

Canadiens Key Stats

  • Montreal's 200 total goals (3.4 per game) rank fourth in the league.
  • Defensively, the Canadiens are giving up 187 total goals (3.2 per game) to rank 24th in league action.
  • Its +13 goal differential ranks 12th in the league.
  • The 41 power-play goals the Canadiens have scored this season are ninth-best in the NHL (on 166 power-play chances).
  • Montreal's 24.7% power-play conversion rate is the seventh-best in the league.
  • The Canadiens have recorded six shorthanded goals this season (eighth among NHL squads).
  • Montreal has the league's 26th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (76.6%).
  • Montreal wins 50.7% of its faceoffs to rank 12th in the NHL.
  • The Canadiens shoot 13.2% as a team (best in the league).

Capitals Key Stats

  • Washington has 194 goals this season (3.2 per game), 11th in the NHL.
  • The Capitals allow 2.9 goals per game (175 in total), 13th in the league.
  • With a goal differential of +19, the team is eighth-best in the league in that category.
  • The Capitals have 29 power-play goals (on 183 chances), 23rd in the NHL.
  • Washington has the league's 31st-ranked power-play percentage (15.85%).
  • This season, the Capitals have three shorthanded goals (21st in NHL).
  • Washington's has the 18th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (78.97%).
  • At 49.7%, Washington has the league's 18th-ranked faceoff win percentage.
  • The Capitals' 11% shooting percentage is 17th in the league.

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