Canadiens vs. Capitals NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Feb. 28
28 February 2026

The Montreal Canadiens (32-17-9) host the Washington Capitals (31-23-7) on Saturday, Feb. 28, with the Canadiens coming off a loss and the Capitals a win. The Capitals are underdogs on the road, at +136, and the Canadiens are -162.
Montreal lost 4-3 in overtime at home in its last game on Feb. 26 against the New York Islanders. Noah Dobson's two points (two goals) led the Canadiens.
Washington won its last game 3-2 at home against the Vegas Golden Knights on Feb. 27. Pierre-Luc Dubois' three points (two goals and one assist) in that matchup led the Capitals.
Prepare for this matchup with a glimpse at who we project to emerge with the victory in Saturday's game.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Canadiens vs. Capitals Predictions & Pick
Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Montreal Canadiens and Washington Capitals, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Canadiens 4 - Capitals 3
- Pick OU:
Over 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 7.04 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Canadiens vs. Capitals Moneylines
Take a peek below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Canadiens-Capitals matchup.
- Favorite: Canadiens (-162)
- Underdog: Capitals (+136)
Canadiens Betting Insights
- In the 25 times this season the Canadiens have been a moneyline favorite, they have gone 13-12 in those games.
- In games it has played with moneyline odds of -162 or shorter, Montreal has compiled a 4-1 record (winning 80.0% of its games).
- The Canadiens have a 61.8% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this game.
- Montreal's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 34 times.
Capitals Betting Insights
- This season the Capitals have been an underdog 18 times, and won six, or 33.3%, of those games.
- Washington has a record of 2-2 in games when sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +136 on the moneyline.
- The Capitals have a 42.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Washington has played 25 games this season that finished with more than 6.5 goals.
Canadiens Key Stats
- Montreal's 200 total goals (3.4 per game) rank fourth in the league.
- Defensively, the Canadiens are giving up 187 total goals (3.2 per game) to rank 24th in league action.
- Its +13 goal differential ranks 12th in the league.
- The 41 power-play goals the Canadiens have scored this season are ninth-best in the NHL (on 166 power-play chances).
- Montreal's 24.7% power-play conversion rate is the seventh-best in the league.
- The Canadiens have recorded six shorthanded goals this season (eighth among NHL squads).
- Montreal has the league's 26th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (76.6%).
- Montreal wins 50.7% of its faceoffs to rank 12th in the NHL.
- The Canadiens shoot 13.2% as a team (best in the league).
Capitals Key Stats
- Washington has 194 goals this season (3.2 per game), 11th in the NHL.
- The Capitals allow 2.9 goals per game (175 in total), 13th in the league.
- With a goal differential of +19, the team is eighth-best in the league in that category.
- The Capitals have 29 power-play goals (on 183 chances), 23rd in the NHL.
- Washington has the league's 31st-ranked power-play percentage (15.85%).
- This season, the Capitals have three shorthanded goals (21st in NHL).
- Washington's has the 18th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (78.97%).
- At 49.7%, Washington has the league's 18th-ranked faceoff win percentage.
- The Capitals' 11% shooting percentage is 17th in the league.
