Bradley vs. Murray State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 1

The Bradley Braves (19-11, 12-7 MVC) face the Murray State Racers (20-10, 12-7 MVC) as 3.5-point favorites on Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The matchup has an over/under set at 159.5 points.

In its last game on Tuesday, Bradley suffered a 93-86 OT loss to UIC. Jaquan Johnson scored a team-best 25 points for Bradley in the loss. Murray State came out on top in its most recent matchup 88-75 against Evansville on Saturday. KJ Tenner recorded 20 points, five rebounds and six assists for Murray State.

Bradley vs. Murray State Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET
• Where: Carver Arena in Peoria, Illinois
• Spread favorite: Bradley -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: Bradley -188
• Moneyline underdog: Murray State +145
• Over/Under: 159.5 points

How to watch Bradley vs. Murray State

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Bradley vs. Murray State

• Bradley and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (159.5 points) eight times this season.
• A total of 15 of Murray State's games have finished with a combined score over 159.5 points this season.
• The total for the matchup of 159.5 is 1.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Braves (77.1 points per game) and the Racers (83.7 points per game).
• The 152.2 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 7.3 less than the 159.5-point over/under in this contest.
• On average, the over/under in Bradley's games is 9.5 fewer points than the over/under of 159.5 in this contest.
• Murray State's games have an average over/under of 163.0 points this season, 3.5 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Bradley vs. Murray State

• Against the spread, Bradley is 11-18-0 this year.
• The Braves have been favored by 3.5 points or more 16 times this season and are 7-9 ATS in those games.
• Murray State has played 30 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
• The Racers have covered the spread twice this year when underdogs by 3.5 points or more (in four chances).
• At home this year, Bradley is 6-8 against the spread and 12-2 overall.
• This year, as a 3.5-point favorite or more at home, Bradley is 5-8 ATS.
• Murray State is 3-7 against the spread, and 5-5 overall, in away games.
• Murray State has two wins ATS (2-3) as 3.5-point underdogs or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Bradley vs. Murray State

• Bradley has won 15, or 78.9%, of the 19 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Braves have a record of 14-2, a 87.5% win rate, when favored by -188 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from Bradley, based on the moneyline, is 65.3%.
• Murray State has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in seven games this year and has walked away with the win two times (28.6%) in those games.
• The Racers have a win-loss record of 2-1 with odds of +145 or worse this year.
• Murray State has an implied victory probability of 40.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.