Belmont vs. Indiana State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 21

In a game between one of the hottest teams in college basketball against one that is sputtering, the Belmont Bruins (24-4, 14-3 MVC), winners of two in a row, and 9-1 in their past 10 games, battle the Indiana State Sycamores (10-18, 3-14 MVC), who've dropped four straight and are 1-9 in their past 10. The Bruins are favorites by 13 points for this contest at Curb Event Center Arena on February 21, 2026. The over/under is 156.5 in the matchup.

In its last time out, Belmont won on Sunday 87-70 against Murray State. Jack Smiley's team-high 21 points paced Belmont in the win. Indiana State is coming off of an 81-60 loss to Northern Iowa in its most recent outing on Wednesday. Ian Scott scored 14 points in Indiana State's loss, leading the team.

Belmont vs. Indiana State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Curb Event Center Arena in Nashville, Tennessee
• Spread favorite: Belmont -13
• Moneyline favorite: Belmont -1064
• Moneyline underdog: Indiana State +652
• Over/Under: 156.5 points

How to watch Belmont vs. Indiana State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Belmont vs. Indiana State

• Belmont and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's total (156.5 points) 13 times this season.
• This season, six games Indiana State has played finished with a combined score higher than 156.5 points.
• The total for the matchup of 156.5 is 1.9 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Bruins (83.8) and Sycamores (74.6).
• The 147.7 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 8.8 less than the 156.5-point total in this contest.
• This season the average over/under for Belmont's games is 156.4 points, 0.1 fewer than the over/under of 156.5 set for this contest.
• Indiana State's games have an average over/under of 149.7 points this season, 6.8 fewer points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Belmont vs. Indiana State

• Belmont has played 27 games, with 16 wins against the spread.
• The Bruins have covered the spread twice this season when favored by 13 points or more (in four chances).
• Indiana State has played 26 games, with 17 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Sycamores have one ATS win in two games as an underdog of 13 points or more.
• At home this year, Belmont is 6-6 against the spread and 10-2 overall.
• Belmont has one win ATS (1-2) as a 13-point favorite or greater at home.
• In away games, Indiana State is 3-10 overall and 11-2 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Belmont vs. Indiana State

• Belmont has won 21, or 84%, of the 25 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Bruins have been at least a -1064 moneyline favorite five times this season and won each of those games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 91.4% chance of a victory for Belmont.
• Indiana State has come away with four wins in the 18 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Sycamores have been listed as an underdog of +652 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Indiana State has a 13.3% chance of walking away with the win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Belmont vs. Indiana State

• Pick ATS: Belmont (- 13)
• Pick OU: Over (156.5)
  
• Prediction: Belmont 91 - Indiana State 73