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Avalanche vs. Stars NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 6

06 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The Colorado Avalanche (41-10-9) will visit the Dallas Stars (38-14-9) on Friday at 8 p.m. ET, in a matchup featuring the best two clubs in the Western Conference. The bookmakers have made the Avalanche solid favorites at -120 on the moneyline, despite being away from home, and the Stars are at +100.

Colorado won 5-1 on the road its last time out on March 3 against the Anaheim Ducks. Cale Makar's three points (one goal and two assists) led the Avalanche.

Dallas won its most recent game 6-1 on the road over the Calgary Flames on March 3. Matt Duchene had four points (four assists) in that outing for the Stars.

Prepare for this showdown with a look at who we project to emerge with the victory in Friday's game.

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Avalanche vs. Stars Predictions & Pick

For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Avalanche 3 - Stars 2
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.04 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Avalanche vs. Stars Moneylines

Take a look below at the latest moneylines for the Avalanche-Stars matchup.

  • Favorite: Avalanche (-120)
  • Underdog: Stars (+100)

Avalanche Betting Insights

  • The Avalanche have won 69.5% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (41-18).
  • Colorado is 40-17 (victorious in 70.2% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -120 or shorter.
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Avalanche have an implied probability of 54.5% to win.
  • In 26 games this season, Colorado and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Stars Betting Insights

  • This season the Stars have won nine of the 14 games, or 64.3%, in which they've been an underdog.
  • Dallas has a record of 4-5 in games when oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +100 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 50.0% chance of victory for the Stars.
  • Dallas has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 29 of 61 games this season.

Avalanche Key Stats

  • Colorado is the highest-scoring team in the NHL, with 229 total goals (3.8 per game, on 6.7 assists per contest).
  • The Avalanche have conceded 144 total goals (just 2.4 per game), the fewest in league action.
  • It has a league-leading goal differential of +85.
  • The 30 power-play goals the Avalanche have put up this season (on 193 power-play chances) rank 24th in the NHL.
  • Colorado is 32nd in the league with a 15.54% power-play conversion rate.
  • The Avalanche have scored one shorthanded goal this season.
  • Colorado's 83.53% penalty-kill success rate is the third-best in the league.
  • Colorado has the ninth-best faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 51.2%.
  • The Avalanche make 11.2% of their shots (14th in the league).

Stars Key Stats

  • With 208 goals (3.4 per game), Dallas has the NHL's sixth-best offense.
  • The Stars have one of the best defenses in the NHL, giving up 162 total goals (2.7 per game), third in the NHL.
  • Its +46 goal differential is the third-best in the league.
  • The Stars have 54 power-play goals (on 180 chances), second in the NHL.
  • Dallas has the league's second-best power-play percentage (30%).
  • The Stars have three shorthanded goals (23rd in league).
  • Dallas' has the 11th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (80.65%).
  • At 52.1%, Dallas has the league's sixth-best faceoff win rate.
  • The 13.1% shooting percentage of the Stars is second in the league.

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