Avalanche vs. Stars NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 6
06 March 2026

The Colorado Avalanche (41-10-9) will visit the Dallas Stars (38-14-9) on Friday at 8 p.m. ET, in a matchup featuring the best two clubs in the Western Conference. The bookmakers have made the Avalanche solid favorites at -120 on the moneyline, despite being away from home, and the Stars are at +100.
Colorado won 5-1 on the road its last time out on March 3 against the Anaheim Ducks. Cale Makar's three points (one goal and two assists) led the Avalanche.
Dallas won its most recent game 6-1 on the road over the Calgary Flames on March 3. Matt Duchene had four points (four assists) in that outing for the Stars.
Prepare for this showdown with a look at who we project to emerge with the victory in Friday's game.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Avalanche vs. Stars Predictions & Pick
For predictions on the upcoming contest between the Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Avalanche 3 - Stars 2
- Pick OU:
Under 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 5.04 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Avalanche vs. Stars Moneylines
Take a look below at the latest moneylines for the Avalanche-Stars matchup.
- Favorite: Avalanche (-120)
- Underdog: Stars (+100)
Avalanche Betting Insights
- The Avalanche have won 69.5% of their games when they've been a moneyline favorite this season (41-18).
- Colorado is 40-17 (victorious in 70.2% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -120 or shorter.
- Based on this game's moneyline, the Avalanche have an implied probability of 54.5% to win.
- In 26 games this season, Colorado and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.
Stars Betting Insights
- This season the Stars have won nine of the 14 games, or 64.3%, in which they've been an underdog.
- Dallas has a record of 4-5 in games when oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +100 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 50.0% chance of victory for the Stars.
- Dallas has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 29 of 61 games this season.
Avalanche Key Stats
- Colorado is the highest-scoring team in the NHL, with 229 total goals (3.8 per game, on 6.7 assists per contest).
- The Avalanche have conceded 144 total goals (just 2.4 per game), the fewest in league action.
- It has a league-leading goal differential of +85.
- The 30 power-play goals the Avalanche have put up this season (on 193 power-play chances) rank 24th in the NHL.
- Colorado is 32nd in the league with a 15.54% power-play conversion rate.
- The Avalanche have scored one shorthanded goal this season.
- Colorado's 83.53% penalty-kill success rate is the third-best in the league.
- Colorado has the ninth-best faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 51.2%.
- The Avalanche make 11.2% of their shots (14th in the league).
Stars Key Stats
- With 208 goals (3.4 per game), Dallas has the NHL's sixth-best offense.
- The Stars have one of the best defenses in the NHL, giving up 162 total goals (2.7 per game), third in the NHL.
- Its +46 goal differential is the third-best in the league.
- The Stars have 54 power-play goals (on 180 chances), second in the NHL.
- Dallas has the league's second-best power-play percentage (30%).
- The Stars have three shorthanded goals (23rd in league).
- Dallas' has the 11th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (80.65%).
- At 52.1%, Dallas has the league's sixth-best faceoff win rate.
- The 13.1% shooting percentage of the Stars is second in the league.
