Alabama State vs. Grambling Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 5

The Alabama State Hornets (10-20, 7-10 SWAC) are favorites, by 2.5 points, over the Grambling Tigers (12-18, 6-11 SWAC) on March 5, 2026 at Dunn-Oliver Acadome. The Tigers are sputtering right now, having lost three in a row and going 2-8 in their past 10 games. The point total in the matchup is set at 142.5.

Alabama State dropped its last matchup 71-64 against Southern on Tuesday. In Alabama State's loss, Asjon Anderson led the way with a team-high 13 points (adding zero rebounds and one assist). Grambling is coming off of a 77-63 loss to Alabama A&M in its most recent outing on Tuesday. Grambling got a team-leading 16 points from Jamil Muttilib in the loss.

Alabama State vs. Grambling Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Dunn-Oliver Acadome in Montgomery, Alabama
• Spread favorite: Alabama State -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: Alabama State -142
• Moneyline underdog: Grambling +120
• Over/Under: 142.5 points

How to watch Alabama State vs. Grambling

• TV Channel: SWAC TV
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Alabama State vs. Grambling

• Alabama State and its opponents have combined to outscore Thursday's total (142.5 points) 18 times this season.
• A total of 15 of Grambling's games have ended with a combined score higher than 142.5 points this season.
• The Hornets average 73.8 points per game against the Tigers' 70.5, totaling 1.8 points over the contest's point total of 142.5.
• The 148.7 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 6.2 more than the 142.5-point over/under in this contest.
• Alabama State has a 151.5 average over/under in its games this season, 9.0 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• Grambling's games have an average over/under of 141.5 points this season, 1.0 fewer point than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Alabama State vs. Grambling

• In Alabama State's 29 games this year, it has 13 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Hornets have been installed as favorites by a 2.5-point margin or more six times and are 5-1 ATS in those contests.
• Against the spread, Grambling is 13-15-0 this season.
• So far this year, the Tigers have been installed as underdogs by a 2.5-point margin or more 12 times and are 6-6 ATS in those games.
• Alabama State is 4-3 against the spread, and 4-3 overall, at home this year.
• As a 2.5-point favorite or more at home, Alabama State is 4-1 ATS.
• Away from home, Grambling is 3-13 overall and 7-9 against the spread.
• Grambling has two wins ATS (2-1) on the road as 2.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Alabama State vs. Grambling

• This season, Alabama State has been moneyline favorites nine times and won five of those games.
• The Hornets are 5-1 this season when entering a game favored by -142 or more on the moneyline.
• Alabama State has a 58.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Grambling has been victorious in three, or 25%, of the 12 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Tigers have a win-loss record of 1-8 with odds of +120 or worse this year.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Grambling has a 45.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Alabama State vs. Grambling

• Pick ATS: Grambling (+ 2.5)
• Pick OU: Under (142.5)
  
• Prediction: Alabama State 70 - Grambling 69