Virginia vs. NC State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 24

In a contest featuring one of the hottest squads in college basketball, the No. 11 Virginia Cavaliers (24-3, 12-2 ACC, 9-1 in their last 10) face the NC State Wolfpack (19-8, 10-4 ACC) at John Paul Jones Arena on February 24, 2026. The Cavaliers are favorites by 5.5 points. The matchup has an over/under of 151.5 points.

In its most recent matchup on Saturday, Virginia secured an 86-83 win against Miami (FL). In Virginia's win, Jacari White led the way with a team-high 17 points (adding one rebound and five assists). NC State enters this game after an 82-58 win over North Carolina on Tuesday. Quadir Copeland put up 20 points, six rebounds and seven assists for NC State.

Virginia vs. NC State Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, February 24, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, Virginia
• Spread favorite: Virginia -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: Virginia -263
• Moneyline underdog: NC State +207
• Over/Under: 151.5 points

How to watch Virginia vs. NC State

• TV Channel: ACC Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Virginia vs. NC State

• Virginia and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (151.5 points) 12 times this season.
• A total of 19 of NC State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 151.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 166.9 points per game, 15.4 points more than the over/under of 151.5 for this game.
• These two teams give up a combined 141.8 points per game, 9.7 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for Virginia's games is 150.0 points, 1.5 fewer than the over/under of 151.5 set for this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 7.1 points lower than the average over/under in NC State's games this season of 158.6.

Betting the Spread: Virginia vs. NC State

• In Virginia's 27 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Cavaliers have an against-the-spread record of 9-13 in their 22 games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more.
• NC State is 14-13-0 against the spread this year.
• The Wolfpack have yet to cover the spread this season when underdogs by 5.5 points or more.
• Virginia is 13-1 overall, and 7-7 against the spread, at home.
• Virginia is 7-7 ATS as a 5.5-point favorite or more at home.
• In away games, NC State is 4-4 against the spread, and 6-2 overall.
• NC State has two wins ATS (2-1) as 5.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Virginia vs. NC State

• This season, Virginia has won 19 out of the 22 games, or 86.4%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• This season, the Cavaliers have won 15 of their 17 games, or 88.2%, when favored by at least -263 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 72.5% chance of a victory for Virginia.
• NC State has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in three games this year and has walked away with the win one time (33.3%) in those games.
• The Wolfpack have been listed as an underdog of +207 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• NC State has an implied victory probability of 32.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.