Valparaiso vs. Drake Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 25

The Valparaiso Beacons (16-13, 10-8 MVC) host the Drake Bulldogs (12-17, 6-12 MVC) at Athletics-Recreation Center, starting at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 25, 2026. The Bulldogs are 4.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 149.5 points.

Valparaiso is coming off of a 71-67 victory over UIC in its last outing on Saturday. In Valparaiso's win, Sader Servilus led the way with a team-high 13 points (adding five rebounds and two assists). Drake is coming off of a 66-61 loss to Southern Illinois in its last game on Wednesday. Jalen Quinn scored 23 points in Drake's loss, leading the team.

Valparaiso vs. Drake Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, February 25, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Athletics-Recreation Center in Valparaiso, Indiana
• Spread favorite: Valparaiso -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Valparaiso -236
• Moneyline underdog: Drake +184
• Over/Under: 149.5 points

How to watch Valparaiso vs. Drake

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Valparaiso vs. Drake

• This season, Valparaiso and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's over/under of 149.5 points 11 times.
• In Drake's 27 games this season, 14 finished with more combined points than Wednesday's total of 149.5.
• The total for the contest of 149.5 is 1.7 points more than the combined points per game averages for the Beacons (71.6 points per game) and the Bulldogs (76.2 points per game).
• These two teams give up a combined 146.1 points per game, 3.4 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for Valparaiso's games is 142.4 points, 7.1 fewer than the over/under of 149.5 set for this contest.
• A difference of 1.9 points separates the average over/under in Drake's games (151.4 points) and this matchup's over/under (149.5).

Betting the Spread: Valparaiso vs. Drake

• Valparaiso has played 28 games, with 20 wins against the spread.
• The Beacons have covered the spread twice this season when favored by 4.5 points or more (in six chances).
• Drake is 8-19-0 against the spread this year.
• The Bulldogs have been underdogs by 4.5 points or more 11 times this year and are 5-6 ATS in those contests.
• At home this season, Valparaiso is 10-5 against the spread and 11-4 overall.
• At home, as a 4.5-point favorite or greater, Valparaiso has two wins ATS (2-4).
• Drake is 4-6 overall, and 3-7 against the spread, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Valparaiso vs. Drake

• Valparaiso has been the moneyline favorite in nine games this season and won eight (88.9%) of those contests.
• The Beacons have a record of 3-1 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -236 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Valparaiso, based on the moneyline, is 70.2%.
• Drake has won in five, or 31.2%, of the 16 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• This season, the Bulldogs have been victorious two times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +184 or worse on the moneyline.
• Drake has an implied victory probability of 35.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.