Valkyries vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 29

The Golden State Valkyries (19-8) travel to face the Phoenix Mercury (10-18) after winning five road games in a row. It begins at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, July 29, 2026.

In Golden State's last game, it lost to Washington 90-82. The Valkyries were led by Kaitlyn Chen, who finished with 20 points and six assists, and Kayla Thornton, with 15 points and two steals.

In its most recent game, Phoenix defeated Los Angeles, 86-82, on the road. Its top performers were Kahleah Copper (21 PTS, 62.5 FG%) and Alyssa Thomas (19 PTS, 11 REB, 15 AST, 3 STL, 55.6 FG%).

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Valkyries vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Valkyries-Mercury game.

• Favorite: Valkyries (-3.5)
• Total: 156.5
• Valkyries Moneyline: -168
• Mercury Moneyline: +136

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Valkyries Betting Insights

• The Valkyries have an implied moneyline win probability of 62.7% in this matchup.
• Golden State has won 14 of the 16 games when it was a moneyline favorite this season (87.5%).
• The Valkyries have won 17 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 10 times.
• In 17 games this season, Golden State and its opponents have gone over 156.5 combined points.
• The average point total in Valkyries contests this year is 162.4, 5.9 more points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 42.4% chance of a victory for the Mercury.
• Phoenix has entered the game as the underdog 17 times this season and won five, or 29.4%, of those games.
• The Mercury are 12-16-0 ATS this season.
• Phoenix has played 22 games this season that have had more than 156.5 combined points scored.
• Mercury outings this season have a 169.0-point average over/under, 12.5 more points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Valkyries vs. Mercury

• Golden State scores only 4.6 fewer points per game (81.9) than Phoenix gives up (86.5).
• The Valkyries have a 10-0 record when putting up more than 86.5 points.
• Golden State has been better offensively at home, where it scores 82.6 points per game, compared to on the road, where it scores 81 per game. Defensively, it is slightly better at home, where it allows 76.1 points per game, versus road games, where it lets its opponents to score 76.8 per game.
• Phoenix averages 6.6 more points per game (83) than Golden State give up (76.4).
• The Mercury have gone 8-12 when they've scored more than 76.4 points.
• Phoenix scores more points per game at home (84.7) than on the road (81.5), but also allows more at home (87.8) than away (85.4).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.