Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 26

The Utah Valley Wolverines (20-7, 10-4 WAC) host the Tarleton State Texans (14-14, 5-10 WAC) at UCCU Center, starting at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 26, 2026. The Texans are 17-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 141.5 points.

Utah Valley is coming off of a 66-54 victory against UT Arlington in its last outing on Saturday. In Utah Valley's win, Jackson Holcombe led the way with a team-high 19 points (adding 10 rebounds and five assists). Tarleton State dropped its most recent outing 80-72 against Utah Tech on Saturday. Jordan Mizell scored a team-leading 14 points for Tarleton State in the loss.

Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: UCCU Center in Orem, Utah
• Spread favorite: Utah Valley -17
• Moneyline favorite: Utah Valley -2703
• Moneyline underdog: Tarleton State +1175
• Over/Under: 141.5 points

How to watch Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State

• Utah Valley and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (141.5 points) 15 times this season.
• A total of 13 of Tarleton State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 141.5 points this season.
• The point total for the matchup of 141.5 is 14.1 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wolverines (80.3) and Texans (75.3).
• These two teams surrender a combined 139.6 points per game, 1.9 less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, Utah Valley has seen a 147.1-point over/under in its games this season, 5.6 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 6.6 points lower than the average over/under in Tarleton State's games this season of 148.1.

Betting the Spread: Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State

• Against the spread, Utah Valley is 13-11-0 this year.
• The Wolverines have been favored by 17 points or more one time this season and have not covered the spread in any of them.
• Tarleton State has 13 wins against the spread in 24 games this season.
• So far this year, the Texans have been installed as underdogs by a 17-point margin or more three times and are 3-0 ATS in those games.
• At home this season, Utah Valley is 6-4 against the spread and 10-0 overall.
• Utah Valley is winless ATS (0-1) as a 17-point favorite or more at home.
• This season away from home, Tarleton State is 8-5 against the spread and 4-9 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Utah Valley vs. Tarleton State

• Utah Valley has entered the game as moneyline favorites 21 times this season and won 17, or 81%, of those games.
• The Wolverines have played as a favorite of -2703 or more once this season and won that game.
• The implied probability of a win from Utah Valley, based on the moneyline, is 96.4%.
• Tarleton State has come away with two wins in the 12 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Texans have won all of their three games in which they were named as at least a +1175 moneyline underdog.
• Tarleton State has an implied victory probability of 7.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.