UMass vs. Buffalo Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 21

The UMass Minutemen (15-12, 6-8 MAC) battle the Buffalo Bulls (15-11, 5-8 MAC) on February 21, 2026 at William D. Mullins Center. The Bulls are underdogs by a 7.5-point margin as they enter the matchup losers of three in a row with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games. The point total for the matchup is 154.5.

UMass is coming off of an 86-77 loss to Miami (OH) in its last game on Tuesday. In UMass' loss, Isaiah Placide led the way with a team-high 19 points (adding zero rebounds and one assist). Buffalo fell in its last outing 72-70 against Northern Illinois on Tuesday. Angelo Brizzi put up 25 points, six rebounds and zero assists for Buffalo.

UMass vs. Buffalo Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET
• Where: William D. Mullins Center in Amherst, Massachusetts
• Spread favorite: UMass -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: UMass -334
• Moneyline underdog: Buffalo +258
• Over/Under: 154.5 points

How to watch UMass vs. Buffalo

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UMass vs. Buffalo

• This season, 12 of UMass' 26 games have gone over Saturday's over/under of 154.5 points.
• There have been 11 Buffalo games that ended with a combined score higher than 154.5 points this season.
• The Minutemen average 80.9 points per game against the Bulls' 78.3, totaling 4.7 points over the game's total of 154.5.
• The 151.7 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 2.8 less than the 154.5-point total in this contest.
• On average, UMass has had a 157.9-point over/under in its games this season, 3.4 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this contest is 1.5 points more than the average over/under in Buffalo's games this season (153.0 points).

Betting the Spread: UMass vs. Buffalo

• UMass has played 26 games, with 10 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Minutemen have just two ATS wins in eight games as a favorite of 7.5 points or more.
• In Buffalo's 24 games this season, it has 15 wins against the spread.
• The Bulls have an ATS record of 3-1 in their four games as an underdog of 7.5 points or more this year.
• At home this year, UMass is 9-4 overall and 4-9 against the spread.
• UMass has two wins ATS (2-5) as a 7.5-point favorite or more at home.
• This season in away games, Buffalo is 8-3 against the spread and 7-4 overall.
• Away from home, Buffalo is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 7.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: UMass vs. Buffalo

• UMass has been the moneyline favorite in 15 games this season and won 10 (66.7%) of those contests.
• The Minutemen are 7-1 this season when entering a game favored by -334 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from UMass, based on the moneyline, is 77%.
• Buffalo has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 11 games this year and has walked away with the win three times (27.3%) in those games.
• This season, the Bulls have been victorious two times in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +258 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Buffalo has a 27.9% chance of walking away with the win.