Tennessee State vs. UT Martin Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - OVC Tournament
06 March 2026

The No. 1 seed Tennessee State Tigers (21-9, 15-5 OVC) are favored by 1.5 points in their OVC Tournament matchup against the No. 4 seed UT Martin Skyhawks (22-10, 13-7 OVC) on Friday at Ford Center, starting at 8 p.m. ET on ESPNU. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 137.5 points.
Tennessee State came out on top in its most recent game 67-42 against UT Martin on Saturday. Aaron Nkrumah's team-leading 20 points paced Tennessee State in the win. UT Martin is coming off of a 66-63 win over Eastern Illinois in its last outing on Thursday. Matas Deniusas scored 17 points in UT Martin's victory, leading the team.
Tennessee State vs. UT Martin Odds and Game Time
- When: Friday, March 6, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
- Where: Ford Center in Evansville, Indiana
- Spread favorite: Tennessee State -1.5
- Moneyline favorite: Tennessee State -137
- Moneyline underdog: UT Martin +115
- Over/Under: 137.5 points
How to watch Tennessee State vs. UT Martin
- TV Channel: ESPNU
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Tennessee State vs. UT Martin
- Tennessee State and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (137.5 points) 21 times this season.
- There have been 10 UT Martin games that finished with a combined score higher than 137.5 points this season.
- The over/under for the contest of 137.5 is 13.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Tigers (80.5) and Skyhawks (70.3).
- This game's point total is 0.3 fewer points than the 137.2 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
- On average, Tennessee State has seen a 154.7-point over/under in its games this season, 17.2 more points than the over/under in this contest.
- UT Martin's games have an average over/under of 133.3 points this season, 4.2 points lower than the over/under for this matchup.
Betting the Spread: Tennessee State vs. UT Martin
- In Tennessee State's 27 games this year, it has 16 wins against the spread.
- So far this season, the Tigers have been installed as favorites by a 1.5-point margin or more 16 times and are 7-9 ATS in those contests.
- UT Martin has 15 wins against the spread in 29 games this year.
- The Skyhawks have an against the spread record of 4-3 in their seven games when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this season.
- Tennessee State is 8-2 overall, and 5-5 against the spread, at home.
- Tennessee State is 5-5 ATS as a 1.5-point favorite or more at home.
- UT Martin is 8-6 overall, and 10-4 against the spread, on the road.
- As 1.5-point underdogs or more on the road, UT Martin is 6-1 ATS.
Betting the Moneyline: Tennessee State vs. UT Martin
- Tennessee State has been the moneyline favorite in 15 games this season and won 11 (73.3%) of those contests.
- The Tigers have entered 13 games this season favored by -137 or more and are 10-3 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.8% chance of a victory for Tennessee State.
- UT Martin has been a moneyline underdog in seven games this season and has come away with the win two times (28.6%) in those contests.
- This season, the Skyhawks have come away with a win two times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies UT Martin has a 46.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
