Rays vs. Guardians Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - July 26

The Tampa Bay Rays have a 2-0 series lead, aiming to sweep the Cleveland Guardians on Sunday at Tropicana Field, at 12:15 p.m. ET. Drew Rasmussen (8-5, 3.28 ERA) gets the start for the Rays, who are 61-43 this season and first in the AL East. Parker Messick (8-5, 2.68 ERA) is expected to start for the Guardians, who are 54-52 and second in the AL Central.

The Rays (-128) are moneyline favorites at home over the Guardians (+105). The over/under for the Rays-Guardians game is set at 7.

Rays vs. Guardians Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Sunday, July 26, 2026
• Game time: 12:15 p.m. ET
• Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
• Stadium: Tropicana Field
• Favorite: Rays (-128)
• Underdog: Guardians (+105)
• Over/under: 7

How to Watch Rays vs. Guardians

• TV Channel: Peacock
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Rays vs. Guardians: Betting the Moneyline

• The Rays have gone 42-22 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 65.6% of those games).
• Cleveland has been underdogs in 47 games this season and has come away with the win 24 times (51.1%) in those contests.
• Tampa Bay has entered 38 games this season favored by -128 or more and is 26-12 in those contests.
• This season, the Guardians have come away with a win 20 times in 36 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Rays a 56.1% chance to win.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Rays vs. Guardians: Betting the Spread & Total

• The Rays have played in 104 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 47 times (47-51-6).
• Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of its 106 games with a total this season.
• The Rays have a 60-44-0 record ATS this season (covering 57.7% of the time).
• The Guardians have posted a record of 52-54-0 against the spread this season.