St. Thomas vs. North Dakota State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 26

In a game featuring one of the hottest teams in college basketball, the North Dakota State Bison (23-6, 13-1 Summit League) play the Saint Thomas Tommies (21-8, 10-4 Summit League) at Lee & Penny Anderson Arena on February 26, 2026. The Bison have won four in a row, and are 9-1 in their past 10 games, but the Tommies are favorites by 3.5 points. The matchup's over/under is set at 154.5.

St. Thomas enters this game following an 82-80 loss to Denver on Saturday. Nick Janowski's team-high 19 points paced St. Thomas in the losing effort. North Dakota State's last outing on Saturday ended in a 95-59 victory over UMKC. Treyson Anderson scored a team-leading 20 points for North Dakota State in the win.

St. Thomas vs. North Dakota State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Spread favorite: St. Thomas -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: St. Thomas -161
• Moneyline underdog: North Dakota State +125
• Over/Under: 154.5 points

How to watch St. Thomas vs. North Dakota State

• TV Channel: Summit League Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: St. Thomas vs. North Dakota State

• A total of 15 of St. Thomas' games this season have gone over Thursday's over/under of 154.5 points.
• This season, nine of North Dakota State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 154.5 points.
• The over/under for the game of 154.5 is 10.9 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Tommies (83.8 points per game) and the Bison (81.6 points per game).
• These two teams surrender a combined 143.4 points per game, 11.1 less than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for St. Thomas' games is 156.8 points, 2.3 more than the total of 154.5 points set for this contest.
• North Dakota State's games have an average over/under of 152.0 points this season, 2.5 fewer points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: St. Thomas vs. North Dakota State

• St. Thomas has 12 wins against the spread in 26 games this year.
• The Tommies are 10-10 ATS when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
• North Dakota State is 16-10-0 against the spread this season.
• The Bison are 3-0 ATS when underdogs by 3.5 points or more this year.
• At home this year, St. Thomas is 9-1 overall and 4-6 against the spread.
• St. Thomas is 4-6 ATS as a 3.5-point favorite or more at home.
• North Dakota State is 9-5 against the spread, and 10-4 overall, away from home.
• This season, as 3.5-point underdogs or more away from home, North Dakota State is 5-2 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: St. Thomas vs. North Dakota State

• St. Thomas has been the moneyline favorite in 21 games this season and won 17 (81%) of those contests.
• This season, the Tommies have won 16 of their 20 games, or 80%, when favored by at least -161 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from St. Thomas, based on the moneyline, is 61.7%.
• North Dakota State has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in five games this year and has walked away with the win two times (40%) in those games.
• This year, the Bison have won two of four games when listed as at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that North Dakota State has a 44.4% chance of pulling out a win.