South Florida vs. Memphis Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 5

In a matchup featuring one of the hottest squads in college basketball, the South Florida Bulls (21-8, 13-3 AAC, 9-1 in their last 10) face the Memphis Tigers (12-17, 7-9 AAC) at FedExForum on March 5, 2026. The Bulls are favorites by 5.5 points. The matchup has an over/under of 161.5 points.

In its last time out, South Florida won on Sunday 90-62 against Tulane. Wes Enis totaled 25 points, two rebounds and four assists for South Florida. Memphis lost its most recent matchup 84-68 against East Carolina on Sunday. Julius Thedford recorded 16 points, nine rebounds and zero assists for Memphis.

South Florida vs. Memphis Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee
• Spread favorite: South Florida -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: South Florida -280
• Moneyline underdog: Memphis +228
• Over/Under: 161.5 points

How to watch South Florida vs. Memphis

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: South Florida vs. Memphis

• South Florida and its opponents have combined to exceed Thursday's over/under of 161.5 points 14 times this season.
• Seven of Memphis' games have finished with a combined score higher than 161.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 162.5 points per game, 1.0 point more than the over/under of 161.5 for this matchup.
• This game's total is 9.6 fewer points than the 151.9 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• On average, South Florida has had a 165.0-point over/under in its games this season, 3.5 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• A difference of 12.0 points separates this game's over/under (161.5 points) and the average over/under in Memphis' games (149.5) this season.

Betting the Spread: South Florida vs. Memphis

• Against the spread, South Florida is 15-13-0 this year.
• So far this season, the Bulls have been installed as favorites by a 5.5-point margin or more 16 times and are 9-7 ATS in those matchups.
• Memphis has played 29 games, with 13 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Tigers have been installed as underdogs by a 5.5-point margin or more seven times and are 3-4 ATS in those games.
• At home this season, Memphis is 10-5 overall and 9-6 against the spread.
• At home, as a 5.5-point underdog or more, Memphis is 5-5 ATS.
• South Florida is 7-4 against the spread, and 8-3 overall, on the road.
• As 5.5-point favorites or more on the road, South Florida is 3-1 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: South Florida vs. Memphis

• This season, South Florida has been moneyline favorites 24 times and won 19, or 79.2%, of those games.
• This season, the Bulls have won 12 of their 15 games, or 80%, when favored by at least -280 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 73.7% chance of a victory for South Florida.
• Memphis has been a moneyline underdog in 13 games this season and has come away with the win two times (15.4%) in those contests.
• The Tigers have won all of their six games in which they were named as at least a +228 moneyline underdog.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Memphis has a 30.5% chance of walking away with the win.