SFA vs. New Orleans Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 23

The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (25-3, 18-1 Southland) play the New Orleans Privateers (14-15, 11-8 Southland) on February 23, 2026 at William R. Johnson Coliseum. The Lumberjacks are favored by 11.5 points as they enter the matchup winners of 13 in a row and are 10-0 in their last 10 games. The matchup has an over/under set at 151.5 points.

SFA enters this matchup on the heels of an 81-78 victory against Nicholls State on Saturday. In SFA's win, Lateef Patrick led the way with a team-high 20 points (adding two rebounds and two assists). New Orleans' most recent game on Saturday ended in a 77-71 win against Lamar. MJ Thomas scored 19 points in New Orleans' victory, leading the team.

SFA vs. New Orleans Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, February 23, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: William R. Johnson Coliseum in Huntsville, Texas
• Spread favorite: SFA -11.5
• Moneyline favorite: SFA -943
• Moneyline underdog: New Orleans +608
• Over/Under: 151.5 points

How to watch SFA vs. New Orleans

• TV Channel: ESPN+
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Betting the Over/Under: SFA vs. New Orleans

• Eight of SFA's games this season have gone over Monday's over/under of 151.5 points.
• This season, 18 of New Orleans' games have ended with a combined score higher than 151.5 points.
• The total for the matchup of 151.5 is 2.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Lumberjacks (77.7 points per game) and the Privateers (76.6 points per game).
• This matchup's over/under is 7.0 fewer points than the 144.5 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• This season the average over/under for SFA's games is 143.4 points, 8.1 fewer than the over/under of 151.5 set for this contest.
• New Orleans' games have an average over/under of 155.3 points this season, 3.8 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: SFA vs. New Orleans

• Against the spread, SFA is 20-6-0 this season.
• The Lumberjacks have covered the spread twice this season when favored by 11.5 points or more (in five chances).
• New Orleans has 16 wins against the spread in 28 games this season.
• The Privateers have an ATS record of 3-5 in their eight games when underdogs by 11.5 points or more this season.
• SFA is 10-3 against the spread, and 13-0 overall, at home this year.
• SFA has two wins ATS (2-3) as a 11.5-point favorite or more at home.
• New Orleans is 10-9 against the spread, and 8-11 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: SFA vs. New Orleans

• SFA has entered the game as moneyline favorites 20 times this season and won 19, or 95%, of those games.
• The Lumberjacks have entered five games this season favored by -943 or more, and won each of those games.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that SFA has a 90.4% chance to win.
• New Orleans has won in 10, or 47.6%, of the 21 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Privateers have a win-loss record of 1-5 with odds of +608 or worse this year.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that New Orleans has a 14.1% chance of pulling out a win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for SFA vs. New Orleans

• Pick ATS: New Orleans (+ 11.5)
• Pick OU: Under (151.5)
  
• Prediction: SFA 75 - New Orleans 69