Senators vs. Maple Leafs NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Feb. 28

The Ottawa Senators (28-22-8) visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (27-23-9) on Saturday, Feb. 28, with both teams coming off a loss. Senators (-135) at Maple Leafs (+114) has a definite favorite, according to the moneyline odds.

Ottawa's most recent game was a 2-1 overtime home loss to the Detroit Red Wings on Feb. 26. Tim Stutzle (one assist) and Jake Sanderson (one assist) were among the three Senators players who put up one point each.

Toronto's most recent game was a road loss, 5-1, against the Florida Panthers on Feb. 26. Auston Matthews (one assist) and John Tavares (one goal) were among the three Maple Leafs skaters who collected one point each in that matchup.

Ahead of watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which squad will emerge victorious in Saturday's hockey action.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Maple Leafs 4 - Senators 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.08 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Senators-Maple Leafs game.

• Favorite: Senators (-135)
• Underdog: Maple Leafs (+114)

Senators Betting Insights

• The Senators have been victorious in 21 of their 40 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (52.5%).
• When it has played with moneyline odds of -135 or shorter, Ottawa has put together a 12-10 record (winning 54.5% of its games).
• The implied moneyline probability in this game says the Senators have a 57.4% chance to win.
• In 30 of 58 matches this season, Ottawa and its opponent have combined to finish above 6.5 goals.

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• This season the Maple Leafs have been an underdog 27 times, and won 11, or 40.7%, of those games.
• Toronto has gone 7-12, a 36.8% win rate, when it's been set as an underdog of +114 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The Maple Leafs have a 46.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Toronto has played 33 games this season that finished with more than 6.5 goals.

Senators Key Stats

• Ottawa's 189 total goals (3.3 per game) rank 16th in the league.
• Defensively, the Senators are giving up 186 total goals (3.2 per game) to rank 23rd in league play.
• Its goal differential (+3) ranks 15th in the league.
• The 44 power-play goals the Senators have put up this season are fifth-best in the NHL (on 187 power-play chances).
• Ottawa has the league's eighth-best power-play conversion rate (23.53%).
• The Senators have scored three shorthanded goals this season (21st among NHL teams).
• Ottawa kills 72.78% of opponent power plays, the 30th-ranked penalty-kill percentage in the league.
• Ottawa wins 54.9% of its faceoffs to rank third in the NHL.
• The Senators have an 11.4% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks 13th in the league.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• With 190 goals (3.2 per game), Toronto has the NHL's 13th-ranked offense.
• The Maple Leafs have conceded 202 total goals this season (3.4 per game), 30th in the NHL.
• With a goal differential of -12, the team is 19th in the league.
• With 27 power-play goals (on 138 chances), the Maple Leafs are 29th in the NHL.
• Toronto's power-play percentage (19.57) ranks the team 18th in the league.
• The Maple Leafs have three shorthanded goals (21st in NHL).
• The 83.78% penalty-kill percentage of Toronto is fourth in the league.
• Toronto is the league leader in faceoff win percentage (56%).
• The 11.8% shooting percentage of the Maple Leafs is seventh in the league.