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Senators vs. Flames NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 5

05 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The Ottawa Senators (29-22-9) visit the Calgary Flames (24-29-7) on Thursday, March 5, with both coming off a loss. Senators (-180) at Flames (+150) appears like a mismatch, according to the moneyline odds.

Ottawa fell 5-4 in overtime on the road in its last game on March 3 against the Edmonton Oilers. The Senators were led by Tim Stutzle (two assists) and Drake Batherson (two goals).

Calgary's most recent game was a home loss, 6-1, against the Dallas Stars on March 3. The Flames got one point apiece out of three skaters in that outing, including Blake Coleman (one assist) and Adam Klapka (one assist).

Get ready for this showdown with a glimpse at who we project to emerge with the victory in Thursday's contest.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Senators vs. Flames Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Ottawa Senators and Calgary Flames, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Senators 5 - Flames 2
  • Pick OU: Over 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.97 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Senators vs. Flames Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Senators-Flames matchup.

  • Favorite: Senators (-180)
  • Underdog: Flames (+150)

Senators Betting Insights

  • The Senators have been victorious in 22 of their 41 games when they were listed as a moneyline favorite this season (53.7%).
  • When it has played with moneyline odds of -180 or shorter, Ottawa is 2-1 (winning 66.7% of the time).
  • The Senators' implied moneyline win probability is 64.3% in this matchup.
  • Ottawa and its opponent have gone over 5.5 combined goals in 35 of 60 games this season.

Flames Betting Insights

  • The Flames have won 16, or 34.0%, of the 47 games they have played while the underdog this season.
  • Calgary has entered nine games this season as an underdog by +150 or more and is 2-7 in those contests.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 40.0% chance of victory for the Flames.
  • Calgary has played 33 games this season that finished with more than 5.5 goals.

Senators Key Stats

  • Ottawa's 198 total goals (3.3 per game) make it the 12th-ranked scoring team in the league.
  • Defensively, the Senators are conceding 193 total goals (3.2 per game) to rank 23rd in NHL play.
  • It has the league's 15th-ranked goal differential at +5.
  • The 46 power-play goals the Senators have scored this season (fourth-most in the NHL) have come on 193 power-play chances.
  • Ottawa's 23.83% power-play conversion rate is the eighth-best in the league.
  • The three shorthanded goals the Senators have scored this season rank 22nd among NHL teams.
  • Ottawa's 72.41% penalty-kill success rate ranks 30th in the league.
  • Ottawa wins the third-highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 54.6%.
  • The Senators shoot 11.6% as a team (eighth in the league).

Flames Key Stats

  • Calgary has 147 goals this season (2.4 per game), 32nd in the NHL.
  • The Flames have conceded 178 total goals this season (3.0 per game), 11th in the NHL.
  • it has the 28th-ranked goal differential in the league at -31.
  • The Flames have 29 power-play goals (25th in NHL) on 180 chances.
  • Calgary scores on 16.11% of its power plays, No. 30 in the NHL.
  • The Flames have a league-leading eight shorthanded goals.
  • Calgary's has the seventh-best penalty-kill percentage (82.39%).
  • At 48.8%, Calgary has the NHL's 21st-ranked faceoff win percentage.
  • The 8.5% shooting percentage of the Flames is 31st in the league.

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