Sam Houston vs. Missouri State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 28

The Sam Houston Bearkats (20-8, 12-5 CUSA) are favored by 7.5 points versus the Missouri State Bears (13-15, 7-10 CUSA) on February 28, 2026 at Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum. The Bearkats are on a roll, having won four in a row and going 9-1 in their past 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 154.5.

Last time out, Sam Houston won on Thursday 100-67 against Florida International. Jacob Walker scored a team-high 20 points for Sam Houston in the win. Missouri State lost its most recent matchup 72-70 against Louisiana Tech on Thursday. Keith Palek III's team-leading 29 points paced Missouri State in the losing effort.

Sam Houston vs. Missouri State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 5:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum in Huntsville, Texas
• Spread favorite: Sam Houston -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Sam Houston -361
• Moneyline underdog: Missouri State +277
• Over/Under: 154.5 points

How to watch Sam Houston vs. Missouri State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Sam Houston vs. Missouri State

• A total of 14 of Sam Houston's games this season have gone over Saturday's total of 154.5 points.
• In Missouri State's 25 games this season, 10 finished with more combined points than Saturday's over/under of 154.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 158.5 points per game, 4.0 points more than the over/under of 154.5 for this game.
• The 147.2 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 7.3 fewer than the 154.5 over/under in this contest.
• Sam Houston has a 157.1 average over/under in its games this season, 2.6 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• A difference of 6.0 points separates this game's over/under (154.5 points) and the average over/under in Missouri State's games (148.5) this season.

Betting the Spread: Sam Houston vs. Missouri State

• In Sam Houston's 25 games this year, it has 19 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Bearkats have been installed as favorites by a 7.5-point margin or more four times and are 3-1 ATS in those games.
• Against the spread, Missouri State is 13-12-0 this year.
• The Bears have covered the spread once this year when underdogs by 7.5 points or more (in three chances).
• At home this year, Sam Houston is 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall.
• Sam Houston has two wins ATS (2-1) as a 7.5-point favorite or more at home.
• Missouri State is 7-5 against the spread, and 3-9 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Sam Houston vs. Missouri State

• Sam Houston has entered the game as moneyline favorites 12 times this season and won 11, or 91.7%, of those games.
• The Bearkats are undefeated in three games this season when favored by -361 or more on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Sam Houston has a 78.3% chance to win.
• Missouri State has been victorious in two, or 18.2%, of the 11 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Bears have won all of their three games in which they were named as at least a +277 moneyline underdog.
• Missouri State has an implied victory probability of 26.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.