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Red Wings vs. Golden Knights NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 4

04 March 2026 By Data Skrive

The Detroit Red Wings (35-20-6) will host the Vegas Golden Knights (28-19-14) on Wednesday at 7 p.m. ET, in a game featuring one of the top four teams from the Eastern and Western Conferences, respectively. The bookmakers have made the Red Wings solid favorites at -135 on the moneyline, and the Golden Knights are at +114.

Detroit won 4-2 on the road its last time out on March 2 against the Nashville Predators. Mason Appleton (two assists) and Marco Kasper (two assists) were among the four Red Wings skaters who put up two points each.

Vegas lost 3-2 on the road against the Buffalo Sabres in its most recent game on March 3. The Golden Knights got one point apiece out of five skaters in that matchup, including Shea Theodore (one assist) and Ivan Barbashev (one goal).

Ahead of watching this matchup, here's our prediction for which club will bring home the win in Wednesday's hockey action.

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Red Wings vs. Golden Knights Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Detroit Red Wings and Vegas Golden Knights, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Golden Knights 3 - Red Wings 2
  • Pick OU: Under 5.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.05 goals)

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Red Wings vs. Golden Knights Moneylines

Take a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Red Wings-Golden Knights matchup.

  • Favorite: Red Wings (-135)
  • Underdog: Golden Knights (+114)

Red Wings Betting Insights

  • In the 27 times this season the Red Wings have been favored on the moneyline, they have gone 16-11 in those games.
  • In games it has played with moneyline odds of -135 or shorter, Detroit has put together an 8-6 record (winning 57.1% of its games).
  • Based on the moneyline in this game, the Red Wings' implied win probability is 57.4%.
  • Detroit's 61 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 5.5 goals 35 times.

Golden Knights Betting Insights

  • This season the Golden Knights have won two of the nine games in which they've been an underdog.
  • Vegas is 2-3 this season when entering a game as an underdog by +114 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 46.7% chance of victory for the Golden Knights.
  • Vegas' games this season have had more than 5.5 goals 36 of 61 times.

Red Wings Key Stats

  • Detroit ranks 20th in the league with 180 goals scored (3.0 per game).
  • Defensively, the Red Wings are giving up 180 total goals (3.0 per game) to rank 12th in league action.
  • Its goal differential (0) ranks 16th in the league.
  • The 43 power-play goals the Red Wings have recorded this season (seventh-most in the NHL) have come on 187 power-play chances.
  • Detroit's 22.99% power-play conversion rate is the ninth-best in the league.
  • The Red Wings have scored two shorthanded goals this season (27th among NHL squads).
  • Detroit has the league's 18th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (78.88%).
  • Detroit has the 12th-ranked faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 50.7%.
  • The Red Wings make 10.5% of their shots (23rd in the league).

Golden Knights Key Stats

  • With 200 goals (3.3 per game), Vegas has the NHL's 10th-best offense.
  • The Golden Knights have given up 188 total goals this season (3.1 per game), 19th in the NHL.
  • Its +12 goal differential ranks 13th in the league.
  • The Golden Knights have 44 power-play goals (sixth-most in NHL) on 173 chances.
  • Vegas' power-play percentage (25.43) ranks the team sixth in the league.
  • This season, the Golden Knights have two shorthanded goals (27th in NHL).
  • At 81.38%, Vegas has the ninth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • At 50.7%, Vegas has the league's 12th-ranked faceoff win percentage.
  • The Golden Knights' 11.5% shooting percentage is 12th in the league.

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