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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Betting Preview/Prop Picks

01 May 2022

The Sunday Night Baseball crew will be in New York on Sunday night as the Mets host the Philadelphia Phillies. This will be the rubber match of the three-game series as each team has picked up a win this weekend.

Philadelphia comes into this game with an overall record of 11-11, and that speaks to how inconsistent this team has been in 2022. The Phillies were actually no-hit on Friday night but bounced back with a 4-1 win on Saturday.

New York leads the NL East Division with a record of 15-7, and they have done nearly everything well to begin the season. The Mets have gone 3-2 in their last five games and are looking for another series win to begin the year.

The New York Mets are the moneyline betting favorites on Sunday night as the odds are set at -185. 

Phillies Have Power

The Philadelphia Phillies spent some money this offseason, and they have put together an impressive everyday lineup. Philadelphia has blasted 21 home runs already this season, and they have a team slugging percentage of .400.

Kyle Schwarber is having a big season for the Phillies as he has already belted five home runs. Nick Castellanos sports a .300 batting average to lead the team, and Bryce Harper has driven in a team-high 14 runs.

Zach Eflin will start for the Phillies on Sunday night, and he is 1-1 with a 3.20 ERA. Pitching has been an issue at times for the Phillies, but Eflin should deliver a quality start.

Scherzer Starts For Mets

The New York Mets will send Max Scherzer to the mound on Sunday night, and that has been a good thing for this team. Scherzer signed a massive contract in the offseason, and he has gone 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA to begin the year. 

The entire pitching staff for the Mets has been solid this season as they combined to throw a no-hitter on Friday night. New York doesn’t always get a ton of offense, but they have been good enough on most nights. 

Francisco Lindor has hit four home runs to set the tone for the Mets, and Pete Alonso has a team-high 17 RBIs. This lineup is surprisingly deep, but they managed just one run in the loss on Saturday night.

Mets Take Series Over Rivals

This pitching matchup looks like it favors the Mets in a big way, but Eflin has the ability to keep the Phillies in the game. Scoring runs has been a problem for Philadelphia at times this season, and that could plague them in this game as well.

New York just always seems to come up with a clutch hit, and that offense won’t have to do a ton of damage with Scherzer on the mound. Look for Scherzer to be in complete control of this game from the beginning as he shuts down Philadelphia. 

Bet the New York Mets -185 as the home team finds enough offense to back their ace and win the series over the Philadelphia Phillies.

Prop Picks

Philadelphia (-120) UNDER 2.5 Runs

New York is allowing 2.94 runs per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 2 in the league, while holding opposing teams to a .563 OPS, which also ranks No. 2. Scores have gone UNDER in nine of the Mets’ last 11 home games versus the Phillies.

With Dunkel predicting a Mets victory by the score of 3-2, take the Phillies (-110) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 2.5 runs against New York.

Max Scherzer (-140) OVER 7.5 Strikeouts

Scherzer has 33 strikeouts this season, which ranks No. 6 in the league, while averaging 11.9 strikeouts per 9 innings, which also ranks No. 6. As an offense, the Phillies are averaging 8.90 strikeouts per 9 innings, which ranks No. 18.

With Dunkel predicting Mets victory while holding the Phillies UNDER their team run total, take Scherzer (-140) to finish OVER 7.5 strikeouts against Philadelphia.

Keep up with your latest MLB news coverage at The Dunkel Index.

 

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