Eagles vs. Commanders Week 1 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) are the favorites -- expected to win by at least a field goal, but less than a touchdown (currently -6) -- against the Washington Commanders (0-0) in a battle of two division rivals. The game has an over/under of 44.5 points.

Offensively, the Eagles ranked 24th in the NFL with 311.2 yards per game last season. Meanwhile, they ranked 13th in total defense (314.2 yards allowed per contest). The Commanders averaged 20.9 points per game on offense last season (22nd in NFL), and they ranked 27th defensively with 26.5 points allowed per game.

Eagles vs. Commanders Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• City: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
• Total: 44.5 points
• Spread: Eagles -6
• Moneyline: Eagles (-265), Commanders (+215)

How to watch Eagles vs. Commanders

• TV Channel: FOX

Betting the Over/Under: Eagles vs. Commanders

• Eagles games last season featured more combined points than this contest's total of 44.5 points seven times.
• The Eagles and their opponents combined to go over the point total seven out of 17 times last season.
• Washington played 11 games last season that finished with a combined score higher than 44.5 points.
• Last year, 10 Washington games hit the over.
• The two teams combined to score 43.2 points per game last season, 1.3 fewer points than this matchup's total.
• Combined, these teams allowed 45.6 points per contest last year, 1.1 more points than the total for this game.

Betting the Spread: Eagles vs. Commanders

• Philadelphia covered 10 times in 17 matchups with a spread last season.
• When playing as at least 6-point favorites last season, Philadelphia had an ATS record of 3-3.
• The Commanders won seven games against the spread last year, while failing to cover 10 times.
• Washington covered the spread twice when an underdog by 6 points or more last season (in five opportunities).
• The Eagles were 4-4 against the spread, and 5-3 overall, at home last season.
• At home last year, Philadelphia had two wins ATS (2-2) as 6-point favorites or greater.
• The Commanders were 3-6 against the spread, and 3-6 overall, away from home last season.
• Washington was winless ATS (0-1) on the road as 6-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Eagles vs. Commanders

• Philadelphia finished 9-6 in games it was favored on the moneyline last season (winning 60% of those games).
• The Commanders were underdogs 13 times last season and won three, or 23.1%, of those games.
• When it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -265 or shorter, Philadelphia had a record of 4-2 (66.7%).
• Last season, Washington was at least a +215 underdog on the moneyline five times, losing each of those contests.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Eagles' implied win probability is 72.6%.

Dunkel Prediction for Eagles vs. Commanders

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