Eagles vs. Commanders Week 1 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) are the favorites -- expected to win by at least a field goal, but less than a touchdown (currently -4.5) -- against the Washington Commanders (0-0) in a matchup of two division rivals. The over/under for this one is set at 44.5 points.

The Eagles ranked 19th in points scored last year (22.3 points per game), but they played really well on defense, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 19.1 points allowed per game. Despite sporting a bottom-five defense that ranked worst in the NFL (384.3 yards allowed per game) last season, the Commanders put up better results offensively, ranking 22nd in the NFL by totaling 318.8 yards per game.

Eagles vs. Commanders Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• City: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
• Total: 44.5 points
• Spread: Eagles -4.5
• Moneyline: Eagles (-218), Commanders (+180)

How to watch Eagles vs. Commanders

• TV Channel: FOX

Betting the Over/Under: Eagles vs. Commanders

• The Eagles' 17 games last season went over this contest's total of 44.5 points seven times.
• Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total seven times in Eagles games.
• The Commanders played 11 games last season that ended with a point total above 44.5 points.
• A total of 10 of Washington's games last season hit the over.
• The teams combined to score 43.2 points per game last season, 1.3 fewer points than this matchup's total.
• Opponents of these teams put up 45.6 combined points per game last year, 1.1 more than the total for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Eagles vs. Commanders

• Philadelphia compiled a 10-7-0 ATS record last year.
• When playing as at least 4.5-point favorites last season, Philadelphia had an ATS record of 3-4.
• The Commanders compiled a 7-10-0 ATS record last year.
• Washington was an underdog by 4.5 points or more five times last year, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.
• At home last year, the Eagles were 5-3 overall and 4-4 against the spread.
• At home last year, as 4.5-point favorites or greater, Philadelphia had two wins ATS (2-3).
• On the road last season, the Commanders were 3-6 overall and 3-6 against the spread.
• Washington was winless ATS (0-1) as 4.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Eagles vs. Commanders

• Philadelphia was the moneyline favorite 15 total times last season. They went 9-6 in those games.
• The Commanders were underdogs 13 times last season and won three, or 23.1%, of those games.
• In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -218 or shorter, Philadelphia had a 4-3 record (winning 57.1% of its games).
• Last season, Washington was at least a +180 underdog on the moneyline five times, losing each of those contests.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Eagles' implied win probability is 68.6%.

Dunkel Prediction for Eagles vs. Commanders

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