Oakland vs. Northern Kentucky Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Horizon League Tournament

The No. 4 seed Oakland Golden Grizzlies (16-15, 12-8 Horizon League) are favored by 2 points in their Horizon League Tournament matchup against the No. 7 seed Northern Kentucky Norse (18-13, 10-10 Horizon League) on Wednesday at Athletics Center O'rena, beginning at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total in the matchup is set at 158.5.

Oakland is coming off of a 95-89 loss to Detroit Mercy in its last outing on Saturday. Tuburu Niavalurua put up 24 points, four rebounds and three assists for Oakland. Northern Kentucky lost its most recent game 92-91 against Wright State on Saturday. Donovan Oday scored a team-high 21 points for Northern Kentucky in the loss.

Oakland vs. Northern Kentucky Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, March 4, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Athletics Center O'rena in Auburn Hills, Michigan
• Spread favorite: Oakland -2
• Moneyline favorite: Oakland -139
• Moneyline underdog: Northern Kentucky +105
• Over/Under: 158.5 points

How to watch Oakland vs. Northern Kentucky

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Oakland vs. Northern Kentucky

• This season, Oakland and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's over/under of 158.5 points 20 times.
• In Northern Kentucky's 28 games this season, 12 finished with more combined points than Wednesday's point total of 158.5.
• The over/under for the matchup of 158.5 is 6.5 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Golden Grizzlies (82.5 points per game) and the Norse (82.5 points per game).
• These two teams give up a combined 158.1 points per game, 0.4 less than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Oakland's games is 164.1 points, 5.6 more than the total of 158.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 0.4 points lower than the average over/under in Northern Kentucky's games this season (158.9 points).

Betting the Spread: Oakland vs. Northern Kentucky

• Oakland is 17-13-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, the Golden Grizzlies have an ATS record of 9-7 in their 16 games as a favorite of 2 points or more.
• Against the spread, Northern Kentucky is 11-17-0 this year.
• This year, the Norse have just two ATS wins in seven games as an underdog of 2 points or more.
• At home this year, Oakland is 6-5 overall and 5-6 against the spread.
• As a 2-point favorite or more at home, Oakland is 5-6 ATS.
• Northern Kentucky is 4-10 against the spread, and 6-8 overall, away from home.
• Northern Kentucky has one win ATS (1-4) on the road as 2-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Oakland vs. Northern Kentucky

• This season, Oakland has been moneyline favorites 19 times and won 12, or 63.2%, of those games.
• The Golden Grizzlies have entered 16 games this season favored by -139 or more and are 10-6 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.2% chance of a victory for Oakland.
• Northern Kentucky has won in three of the nine contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Norse have a win-loss record of 3-5 with odds of +105 or worse this year.
• Northern Kentucky has an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.